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2020 Preakness Stakes Early Expert Analysis

2020 Preakness Stakes Early Expert Analysis
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2020 Preakness Stakes Early Expert Analysis

Written by RedAlertWagers.com on September 28, 2020
Horse Racing Betting News
The final Triple Crown horse race of the year happens on Saturday, October 3. Although Belmont and Travers winner Tiz the Law will skip the Run for the Blackeyed Susans to ready for the Breeders’ Cup Classic, Kentucky Derby winner Authentic will enter the starting gate. The Baffert trainee faces serious speed in filly Swiss Skydiver, though. Will Authentic prove too tough to get by in the Preakness? Check out top plays and Horse Racing Odds from Preakness Stakes for Saturday, October 3. You can also visit our Online Racebook to place your bets on active racetracks.

Horse Racing Odds & Pick | Preakness Stakes Early Predictions

2020 Preakness Stakes

  • When: Saturday, October 3
  • Where: Pimlico Racecourse, Baltimore, MD
  • Weather: Mostly Sunny

2020 Preakness Stakes Odds

  • Authentic +125
  • Art Collector +350 (MAC's Win)
  • Rushie +1000
  • Swiss Skydiver +1400
  • King Guillermo +1800
  • Dr. Post +3300
  • Mr. Big News +1000
  • Pneumatic +1800 (MAC's Place)
  • Mystic Guide +2000
  • Max Player +1400
  • Tap It to Win +2500
  • Money Moves +2500
  • Cezanne +1800 (MAC's Show)
  • New York Traffic +1600
  • Stoneman +3300
  • Storm the Court +3300
  • Enforceable +3300
  • Sole Volante +4000
  • No Parole +4000
  • Major Fed +5000
  • Necker Island +5000
  • Attachment Rate +4000
  • South Bend +4000
  • Winning Impression +6600
  • Mongolian Wind +5000
  • Finnick the Fierce +8000
  • Lebda +10000
  • Leavyourbeastlife +2500
  • Jesus Team +3300
  • Excession +2200
  • Country Grammar +2000

Win: Authentic +125

Right now, it’s difficult seeing any contender out running Authentic to the first turn. Swiss Skydiver has enough speed to do it. But if the filly goes after Authentic before the first turn, her jockey could compromise her chances to win.
Once Authentic gets the lead, he’s almost impossible to run down. Since no horse entered, including Thousands Words if he goes, should push Authentic early, the Derby winner looks like a lock.

Place: Swiss Skydiver +1400

The Kenny McPeek trained daughter of Daredevil and Exo Gold was right there in the Kentucky Oaks. If not for the best performance of Shedaresthedevil’s life, Swiss Skydiver would have run by and won the Oaks. She’s a talented enough filly to win the Preakness. She should also be a length or two off Authentic.
If the Derby winner isn’t at the top of his game on Saturday, she’s the likeliest winner. One advantage? She’s much smaller than the boys, which means her jockey should have no trouble getting her through traffic if it’s required.

Show: Art Collector +350

Trained by Thomas Drury Jr., Art Collector has enough speed to stay close to Authentic as well. He hasn’t raced against a field nearly as good as this yet, but he has won five races in a row. If he can stick with Authentic early, Art Collector may have a shot.
The problem? We know Authentic will fight in the stretch. We also know Swiss Skydiver will give it her all. We’re not one-hundred percent positive Art Collector won’t give up if things get tough.

Fourth: Ny Traffic +1800

The second-place finisher in the Grade 1 Haskell Invitational over the summer was out of his element in the Kentucky Derby. Traffic runs most effectively when he’s near the lead. But Authentic got the first quarter at Churchill Downs in less than 23 seconds. It’s tough to go all in so early in a 1 ¼ mile race. The Preakness is at 1 3/16ths, though. So, whomever is on NYT’s back, the jockey should gun it from the outset to stay no more than a length behind Authentic.
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My Choices For This Saturday At Saratoga 8-3-2019

Races looks fairly competitive this Saturday at Saratoga. With the exception of one race, there should be value to take a shot at. While it looks most of the races will go to highly regarded horses that will be bet well, there are a couple that are up for grabs and possibly offer value that you will remember for a long time, if you can bet the correct order of finish. And as always, I am game and will try to do just that.
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1st Race: Solid maiden special weights field which quite a few could win and be no real surprise.
3)Silver Prospector(10-1). Chased wire to wire winner in first start. Distance was a little short for his bloodlines, but good educational experience. Now others should be chasing. War Front line horses are extremely tough to run down at 1 mile on grass.
8)Our Country(6-1). Made a menacing move into contention but could not run down one of the beneficiaries of slow early pace and flatten slightly in stretch as pace quicken in first start. Adds lasix(which is not the great angle it used to be) but has decent work since, so I will use.
5)Brewmeister(4-1). First time starter for the Chad Brown barn on grass. Owner also purchased Sistercharlie privately and Brown immediately turned her into a G1 SW, one of several this ownetrainer has had success with on grass. He is a member of the third crop by grass champion Point Of Entry. Second Dam, Ginger Brew won the Woodbine Oaks on the AWT and the Calder Oaks on grass at 1 1/8 mile. Only hesitation is it looks like he missed a work as he was preparing for this start, so I will use caution.
6)Eternal Summer(9-2). Another first time starter with good bloodlines. Sire, Summer Front, is another son of War Front, but one of the few who rated throughout his career on grass while placing in several G1s and won a G2 on the grass. Should get first jump on the front running speed and could be live.
Bets: $3 Ex 3 with 5-6-8(Total $9), $2 Ex 5-6-8 with 3(Total $6), $5 Ex Box 3-8(Total $10), $1 Tri Box 3-5-8(Total $6), .10 Super Box 3-5-6-8(Total $2.40), $1 Super Key 3 with 5-6-8 with 5-6-8 with 5-6-8(Total $6). Total Risk This Race $39.40.
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Race 2:
4)Proschema(8-1). Barn switched since last. Three good solid works since last. Is cycling back to best form. Blinkers are being removed, so trainer is probably thinking he will do better rating and seeing his competition.
2)Tikhvin Flew(12-1). Slow start in last proved too much to overcome. Works since has been designed to get a better start and follows the best workout pattern available. Bred to run as far as asked. Came into last looking like he was cycling back into form but slow start caused him all chance, though he still tried.
9)Hersh(8-1). Blinkers comes off after a failed attempt at adding them in last. His sire, Jimmy Creed won G1 Malibu S and raced only in sprints. Broodmare sire, Southern Image, won 6 of 8 lifetime starts including the G1 Malibu at 7 furlongs, G1 Santa Anita H at 1 1/4 mile two starts later, followed by a win in the G1 Pimlico Special at 1 3/16 mile, and a second in the G1 Stephen Foster H at 1 1/8 mile, beaten a nose by a 62-1 shot in his career finale. Third start of the year But works have slowed slightly, indicating trainer now thinks he is fit.
1)Tapit Wise(8-1). Given a two month break from racing since his last, though he has worked steadily. Was a little too keen to go in his last while tracking a slow pace but now gets a jockey who will get him to relax early and make his best move in the stretch. Not out of it, but an underneath finish seems most likely.
Bets: $3 Ex 4 with 2-9($6), $2 Ex 2-9 with 4($4), $5 Ex Box 2-4($10), $1 Tri Box 2-4-9($6), .10 Super Box 1-2-4-9($2.40), $1 Super Key 4 with 1-2-9 with 1-2-9 with 1-2-9($6). Total Risk $34.40.
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Race 3:
10)Amends(12-1). First time starter. Decent works with the right workout pattern. His sire, Uncle Mo, was unbeaten champion 2 YO. Dam did not win in 9 starts, but 2nd dam, Smuggler, won the G1s CCA Oaks And Mother Goose S. 3rd dam, Inside Information, won 14 of 17 lifetime starts and put on a classic in the BC Distaff winning by 13+ lengths in 146 1/5, still the stakes record and 4/5 of a second off Secretariat's track record at Belmont Park for 1 1/8 mile.
6)Fishman(15-1). Has made one start and finished second after battling with the winner(first son of Honor Code to race) throughout in a good finish time. One slow work since but it was more to maintain his condition instead of taking a chance and knocking him off form to get him a little faster. This distance should be an even better fit for him pedigree wise. Only question, did his last start take any conditioning out of him?
9)Glory Road(4-1). First time starter. Works follows a pattern that is probably unique to Pletcher, but not exactly the way I prefer to see. However, should be close enough to make him a factor with these. Good bloodlines should also help.
4)Indian Cross(12-1). Another first time starter. Asmussen has 2 entered in this race and both looks to have an equal shot. But his main jockey chose this one, so I will too. Both follow similar workout patterns and the tie breaker came down to this one has three recent 5 furlongs works while the other one had only 2.
Bets: $5 Ex Box 6-10($10), $1 Tri Box 6-9-10($6), .10 Super Box 4-6-9-10($2.40), .10 Super Box 1-6-9-10($2.40), $1 Super Key 10 with 4-6-9 with 4-6-9 with 4-6-9($6). Total Risk $26.80.
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Race 4:
12)Mad Munnys(20-1) Needs the lead to perform his best and should have a good chance to get it in here. His only win on grass came at 6 furlongs when he got the lead early and maintained that cushion from gate to wire. Now his trainer is stretching him out to a mile which his bloodlines suggests will be his optimal distance on grass, mostly because he has speed breeding that tends to stop unless he gets things his way.
7)Hay Dakota(4-1) Won his last and seeks a repeat while dropping down a level in class. Should be able to sit a good trip and be a factor late if the front running speed stops. Not likely though as there is little speed in here that is fit to run a mile.
9)Coltandmississippi(6-1). Claimed out of last race and makes first start for Servis while dropping a notch. Would not let his lifetime grass record bother me because most tries were against better, including five stakes races, than he faces here. The main early threat to my top choice. Two typical slow works, which his trainer is known for as he saves his horse's energy for race day.
8)Siding Spring(8-1) Has been off form for a while and trainer has been sending him to contest the early pace while waiting until he returns to form. He now looks like he is returning to top form and expect Casse to tell jockey to rate him, as 3 of 4 of his lifetime wins, all on grass, came using that tactical. Drops several levels in class. In with a good shot to upset, especially if the rating tactic is used.
Bets: $10 WP 12($20), $5 Ex Box 7-12($10), $1 Tri Box 7-9-12($6), .10 Super Box 7-8-9-12($2.40), .50 Super Key 12 with 7-8-9 with 7-8-9 with 7-8-9($3). Total Risk $41.40.
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Race 5: Pass. Looks like two very low odds favorite with no value to risk any money.
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Race 6:
12)Somes Sound(10-1) First Time starter. Good works for debut. Sire is Ghostzapper. Dam, Glacken's Gal won her only two starts, going 5 furlongs in 58 flat in her maiden win and then 103 4/5 in her only stakes try at 5 1/2 furlongs. Glacken's Gal best daughter, Live Lively, broke down after five starts, including winning the G2 Davona Dale S and was put down while training for the Black Eyed Susan S. However, another daughter, Indian Miss, is dam of Mitole.
3)Up And Onward(15-1) Another first time starter. Has some good works showing but also showed talent last year while going through a long series of works at Belmont and Saratoga and came back this year without missing a beat. Apparently barn decided to give him more time to mature. His sire is Tapit. His dam, Let Faith Arise, was also a G1 winner in California.
9)Take Pride(12-1) Another first time starter. Trainer looks like he skipped a couple works at first glance, but owner purchased Greentree Stables in 2007, the stable formerly owned by the Whitney family in Saratoga Springs. So he could have possibly worked there and the works were missed. However, Mike Smith takes the call, so I will include.
2)Going For Gold(30-1) Has done nothing since he was purchased privately after his first two efforts. Even those efforts were probably not the way he wants to run. Both sire, Atreides and broodmare sire, Smart Strike, has sired better horses that are willing to rate rather than go all out from start to finish. Blinkers are being removed and this one is not fast enough to go with a few of these early and hang on late, so expect Carmouche to try to get him to rate and pick up a minor piece.
Bets: $10 WP 12($20), $5 Ex Box 3-12($10), $1 Tri Box 3-9-12($6), .10 Super Box 2-3-9-12($2.40), $1 Super 12 with 2-3-9 with 2-3-9 with 2-3-9($6). Total Risk $44.40.
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Race 7:
3)Projected(8-1) Looks like his trainer found a spot to give him a little class relief. While he faces a G1 winner in here, he has ran 2nd to that horse with no help to soften up the front runner. He gets that in here.
5)Sacred Life(5-2) Making his first U.S. start but for a trainer who is proficient in getting his grass runners ready at first asking off a layoff. Has some bloodlines that suggests a mile is within his scope but also some that suggests he will be better going a little further.
2)Lucullan(3-1) Won his last three races when dropped out of stakes and ran a couple good races while facing graded stakes horses. He will eventually break through and this is the perfect spot for him to take that step forward.
6)Say The Word(12-1) Finished third in last, though that field was probably easier than this one. However, he should have a chance due to all the early front running speed.
Bets: $5 Ex Box 3-5($10), $1 Tri Box 2-3-5($6), $3 Tri 3-5 with 3-5 with 2($6), $3 Tri 5 with 2-3 with 2-3($6), .10 Super Box 2-3-5-6($2.40). Total Risk $30.40.
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Race 8:
2)Bellafina(2-1) Most thought the Ky Oaks was hers to lose and she did. However, she spent most of this year racing against small fields, so she got little to no conditioning out of each start. And it ended with the worst effort of her career. Her image tarnished, she is beginning to act like she is on the rebound and ready to produce her career best effort.
4)Trenchtown Cat(12-1) Faced older stakes runners in last two. Good solid work since her last. Irad Ortiz picks up the mount, another positive.
3)Covfefe(5-2) Bounced down to her previous best rating in her last start after registering by far her highest rating in her career. She should rebound here and her works suggests as much.
5)Royal Charlotte(3-1) Has yet to be beaten, so this is the logical step to prove she can compete with this type. Castellano rides but I believe he chose Brown's horse over Brad Cox's horse due to many more opportunities to get live mounts from Brown.
Bets: $5 Ex Box 2-4($10), $1 Tri Box 2-3-4($6), $5 Tri 2 with 3-4 with 3-4($10), $3 Tri 2-4 with 2-4 with 3($6), $1 Super Key 2 with 3-4-5 with 3-4-5 with 3-4-5($6). Total Risk $38
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Race 9:
7)Yoshida(10-1) Shipped to Europe last year and ran a dull race and when he returned still needed a start to fully re-energize. Ditto for this year. Sent to contest the Dubai World Cup while off form and he returned needing a start. But since that start, he is now working like he was just before the BC Classic and traffic problems and a less than ideal trip caused him a better finish in that race, though he was 4th, beaten less than 2 lengths for the win.
4)Thunder Snow(3-1) Last saw him get nip at wire by the favorite in here. But he was the one who stayed close to a blistering pace and should have been caught much easier after he could not get by the winner, Mitole. Nice 7 furlong work since that effort.
2)Forewarned(30-1) Was a private purchase by this traineowner at the end of last year. And looks like his magic is beginning to work on this horse also. A few years ago, he purchased Discreet Lover and ran him in top races repeatedly, finishing third in both the Suburban H & this race last year before finally winning his first G1 stakes of his career with Discreet Lover in the Jockey Club Gold Cup at 45-1, beating the aforementioned Thunder Snow, Mendelssohn and Diversify(at the time in the running for Champion Older Horse). Forewarned has two very good works since his last start and he is a son of the late blooming Flat Out, who won his first stakes race at 5 YOs.
6)McKinzie(7-5) Really think he is beatable and will be overbet in here, but not much else to choose from. His max distance without help from a speed favoring race track or being left alone to dictate his own pace will be 1 1/8 mile. Vino Russo is possible but he looks like he is a grinder that will have a lot to do in the stretch.
Bets: $10 WP 7($20), $5 Ex Box 4-7($10), $1 Tri Box 2-4-7($6), $3 Tri 7 with 2-4 with 2-4($6), .10 super Box 2-4-6-7($2.40), $1 Super Key 7 with 2-4-6 with 2-4-6 with 2-4-6($6). Total Risk $50.40
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Race 10:
8) Got Stormy(3-1) Been off for almost three months, but Casse has used that off time to get his trainee ready for her best effort. He used this angle on Moon Colony who upset the G2 Penn Mile in his next effort. This effort represent a major relief in class from her last two starts.
7)Capla Temptress(8-1) Won last start which was her third effort this year off a 4 1/2 month break. Technically, the class of this field as she has faced the best throughout her racing career and would not be a surprise at all, though she does her best running in the stretch.
6)Zonza(12-1) Her last was her 2nd start in the U.S. and 2nd under Brown. However, her run in the Poule D'Essai Des Pouliches(France 1000 Guineas) suggests she fits with these. Brown is known for his work with fillies, especially ones that start their careers in Europe and then purchased and sent to him in the U.S. to train. Looking for that breakout race in here. Her sire, Alex The Great, is an unraced full brother to Blue Grass Cat and owner said he did not generate much interest in his first two crops because he was American bred which is usually frowned on by European breeders and unraced. But interest increased after this daughter won her first two starts.
9)Stella Di Camelot(4-1) Makes her 2nd start this year and beat Zonta in her last, after Zonta attended a fast pace and tired slightly in the stretch. If it was another trainer, I would be thinking bounce possibly but Brown is patient and runs them again when they indicate to him they are ready.
Bets: $5 Ex Box 7-8($10), $3 Ex 7 with 6 & 8($6), $3 Ex 6 & 8 With 7($6), $1 Tri Box 6-7-8($6), $3 Tri 8 with 6-7 with 6-7($6), $3 Tri 7-8 with 7-8 with 6($6), .10 Super Box 6-7-8-9($2.40), $1 Super 8 with 6-7-9 with 6-7-9 with 6-7-9($6). Total Risk $48.40.
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Race 11:
12)Veterans Beach(5-2) Just missed in last. Has older 1/2 sister that as won sprinting on grass twice with several near misses. Looks ready to move on to next condition.
11) Three Outlaws(8-1) Broke maiden in an open bred maiden claiming race two back. Then ran fast closing fourth in first effort on grass against top choice in last. Gets first lasix in this test with good work since his last. With a better start, has a good chance to flip the script on top choice and the race favorite.
4)Red Zinger(5-1) Working on his third start after breaking his maiden with a good work since his last. Only needs a small step forward to contend in this race. While he is making his first start on grass, he has some bloodlines that suggests he may enjoy the switch.
5)Bourbon Miss(4-1) Another in with a good shot at the win. Though Tomlinson says otherwise(and why I prefer to make my own decisions with breeding, works and everything else pertaining to racing), he is bred as good as anyone in this race for grass, if not much better. There are not many who outdoes a More Than Ready foal or his family in grass sprints and his records screams that. Claimed out of his last start, a maiden claiming win, he returns for another shot at the grass. His only start on that surface saw him break slowly which pretty much eliminated him on Belmont's inner turf in a sprint. With a better break, which is expected, he could make it interesting late.
Bets: $5 Ex Box 11-12($10), $1 Tri Box 4-11-12($6), .10 Super Box 4-5-11-12($2.40), $1 Super Box 11 with 4-5-12 with 4-5-12 with 4-5-12($6). Total Risk $24.40.
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Additional Risks:
1st Race: .50 P5 3 with 2,4 with 10 with 7,12 with 1,2 = $4
1st Race: $1 P3 3 with 2,4 with 10 = $2
2nd Race: .50 P4 2,4 with 6,10 with 7,12 with 1, 2 = $8
2nd Race: $1 P3 2,4 with 10 with 7,12 = $4
6th Race: $1 P3 3,12 with 3,5 with 2,4 = $4
7th Race: .50 P5 3,5 with 2,4 with 7 with 7,8 with 11,12 = $8
8th Race: .50 P4 2,4 with 7 with 7,8 with 5,11,12 = $6
Total Risk All Horizontals $42. Did some minor adjustments on these and not sure the total cost, but close to the original cost. Just drop one here and there, nothing major to keep money management inside my boundaries.
EDIT: P3s are $1 Minimum base wager at Saratoga. P4s & P5s are .50 base minimum.
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My estimate is my total bets on Saratoga comes to $420. That gives me plenty of opportunities to connect on a couple of races since I usually narrow my choices down to the bare minimum allowed. I am trying something slightly different than normal as I cut my WP bets down to choices that I really like to win , instead of betting the one I like best in each race. I took that savings and spread it into higher exotic risks, where the real money tends to be. Good Luck To All and enjoy!!!
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Saratoga

The Spaaaaaaaaaaaaaa…….

With the Saratoga season quickly approaching, I’ve had my arm twisted enough by the Discord team to write a primer on the track. I live about 20-minutes east of Saratoga and it’s my home track; my first real memory of a horse race was betting on Forty Niner in the ’88 Travers……I was 6…… During the 40-day meet, I do most of my wagering for the year and consistently show a nice positive ROI.
What is Saratoga: The Saratoga Racecourse is the oldest continually operating sporting venue in the United States. The town of Saratoga was founded around dozens of natural mineral springs which were turned into bath houses at the end of the 19th Century. Those fighting conditions like Polio sought out the healing properties of the springs; FDR was a regular visitor. The town is about a 3-hour drive north of NYC, so it’s a major summer retreat for those looking to escape. During most of the year, Saratoga is a sleepy town of 25k; on a major race weekend that number will be 5x that.
Why is it Important: The 40-day long meet has 76 stakes with $20.8 million in purse, 40 of those being Graded. Most tracks best day of racing for the entire season is a regular Saratoga Thursday afternoon, the field size and quality here is just unmatched. The feature of the meet is the Travers stakes which will see 3yr old’s coming from the Triple Crown trail facing off against later blooming horses who are setting up for a late season run targeting the Breeders Cup. Saratoga also sees a huge number of very talented maiden races where you will often see next year’s Triple Crown contenders get their start. Owners and Trainers want to show off their very best and a win at Saratoga means massive bragging rights for most. Due to its northern latitude and numerous training tracks, Saratoga is a massive training track that sees horse shippers from around the country even if they have no intent on running there. For the month of July and August, Saratoga really is the focus of all horse racing east of the Mississippi.
What you should know before going:
· New this year, the meet runs from July 11th through Labor Day Weekend with Monday and Tuesday being dark days. First post is normally 1pm except for major Saturday’s like Alabama and Travers Day.
· General/Grandstand admission is $7 with clubhouse being $10; on Travers day General/Grandstand is $15 with Clubhouse being $25. Clubhouse admission does not provide a seat, only entry to the Clubhouse areas.
· Track has a 50k capacity and it WILL sell out for Travers day a solid month in advance. If you show up at the gate for Travers without a ticket, you will be turned away.
· Reserved seating is available through Ticketmaster. If you’re someone who wants to just show up and watch the races, this is a nice easy option. Just remember that although these are covered, many of the lower seats are in the sun, so dress accordingly.
· Most regulars will sit in the Picnic Areas behind the Grandstand. Bring a camp chair and watch the races on the copious big screens. A number of these areas (specifically right behind the Carousel) have a walking path that goes through them so you can watch the horses before they hit the paddock and tree cover keeps you out of the sun.
· If you want to sit in the Picnic Area and have a Picnic Table, you have two options. The first is to reserve one of these through Ticketmaster, but the reserved area is behind the paddock and really sucks. The other is to be at the gates for 6am, wear running shoes (I’m serious) and sprint for a table. Place a tablecloth on the table and tape it down then come back for the races. Moving a tablecloth is a massive Toga foul and you will get tossed if you’re caught.
· Outside food and drink are totally fine in the picnic area, the only real rule is no glass of any kind.
· No formal dress code exists for most of the track, although pants are required for men in the paddock and “appropriate dress” is required in Clubhouse and Box Seating areas. You’ll see everything at the track from picnic area regulars in shorts and a t-shirt, those in 3-piece Armani suits, to some wearing vintage Linen or Seersucker.
· If you’re looking to stay in Saratoga, its not cheap, with rooms often going from $300-600 a night with houses in walking distance to the track going for upwards of 10k a week. Best options are to stay in Clifton Park, Albany or Lake George which are all about a 30-minute commute. Some good AirBnB options exist about 15-minutes east of town along the Hudson river as well.
· If you’re bringing people not into horse racing, tons of options exist for them. Six Flags has a theme park in Lake George with a full water park. A 30-minute drive north puts you in the Adirondack park which has amazing hiking, biking, canoeing and camping. Just east is the Battenkill river which has amazing trout fishing and is the home river of Orvis. For the history buff’s, both the Saratoga Battlefield and Grant Cottage are close by. SPAC in the Saratoga State Park is a summer location for the NYC Ballet, Philadelphia Orchestra and sees major national touring acts. The Spa Park also is a great running, biking or picnic spot that is super close to town.
· Saratoga also has the highest number of bars per capita in the US, tons of options exist Caroline street during the Summer. Restaurant wise you have a lot of world class food along Broadway and around Saratoga Lake. Many people who vacation during the summer have no interest in horse racing, so people watching at the bars can be an amazingly fun evening adventure.
· Although many people prefer paying to park (no idea why), NYRA does offer free parking off from Henning Road which is your first right after getting off the Northway with buses taking you from the parking lot to the track. Although not Glamorous, its a good way to save a few bucks and you get a nice scenic tour of the barns.
· Breakfast with the horses is an absolute MUST if you're a first timer. Get there from 7-9:30am and sit in the Clubhouse Porch and eat the Buffet (I think its $15) while watching morning works. You can park right at the track and they refund your parking on the way out. They also normally have a caller so you'll get names of major horses who might be working, its really an amazing scene.
Angles to Consider:
· Having good friends is a massive benefit here. Fields are deep and competitive, so having a 2nd or 3rd set of eyes looking at PP’s is huge. A group of us Handicap a couple of days before each card, so hop on Discord and go through the races as a team, it will substantially boost your ROI.
· Saratoga is the land of Maidens, so Workout Reports are key. All the major east coast trainers will bring the best of their best 2yr old’s to Saratoga as winning a race there is massive. The only true way to gauge these horses is with workout reports. Always remember that PP’s are rearward biased; you care about the horse today, not when it last ran a month ago. Due to the time of the Saratoga meet, it’s very common to have improving 2 or 3yr old’s take a massive step up here.
· Best way to make money at Saratoga is to pay attention to track biases and to make out your own odds. Track tends to be very speed favoring one day and then it’s all closers the next; watch not just what horse is winning but how and adjust accordingly. Saratoga also sees a lot of "dead money", people with no clue who are betting names, colors, jockeys, trainers...etc. These people LOVE to chase favorites and they are very often overlay’s more here than any place else in the country. If you handicap with no ML and have a horse's fair value at 3-1 its often common to see it drift to 10-1 because a Pletcher firster is 1-9 when it should also be 3-1.... etc....
· Saratoga is also the land of crazy weather. It’s not abnormal to have half the card be 80 and Sunny then a pop-up Thunderstorm rolls through and you have mud with off-turf. The public has no ideas how to manage this and will still bet a turf horse who hates running on the dirt. This leads to some massive overlay’s if you’re prepared.
· NYRA Bets always runs a bet $200 get $200 promo for new signups, it’s well worth your time if you don't already have it. They sometimes will run additional promos on top as well for new members on-track during the meet. This lets you use Mutel terminals if you like tickets without a voucher or you can do everything online which is WAY more efficient.
· In any Saratoga Dirt/Mellon/Inner Turf race between 5 and 6.5f, always toss the 1 horse. Over the past 3 years the 1 post is something like 5 for 450 at those distances. This is partially due to those distances seeing younger horses, but also due to the shape of the inner rail entering the far turn.
· Fade horses in the 8 path and beyond in 2-turn routes, they have terrible statistics even when accounting for field size. The most problematic races are 1 mile on the Mellon turf where early positional speed is huge. 9 & 10 furlong races on the main track also favor the inside as a shorter runup into the first turn can leave outside horses stranded.
· Irad ran away with the 2018 Jockey title, but it’s always super competitive. Saratoga has one of the best jockey colonies in the country so it’s not a chase for a good jock but pay attention to what mounts they choose. If you saw that JJ was on three horses last out but choose one of those this time over the others, it’s likely that horse is very live…. etc.
· Chad Brown also dominate the Trainer title in 2018, with it not even being a contest. His entire barn points for the meet so if it’s a CB horse, its live, just deal with it.
· With all the CB love at Saratoga, certain trainers also have TERRIBLE statistics and should be faded or avoided. Those trainers who have solid numbers of starters and do well at other tracks but suck at SAR are: Amoss, Arnold, Keneally, McPeek, Moquette, Rivelli, Romans, Stall, Stewart and Wilkes. You’ll notice a KY trend there; yes, it is real….
· Pay attention to “well meant shippers” meaning oddball ships and weird drops. Look for horses coming out of smaller tracks like a Penn, FL, GP West, OP... etc... who are trained by small time trainers who have limited starts. Betting public tends to feel a lot more comfortable backing a Pletcher horse than a guy who sees 25 starts a year from a 5-horse stable. You'll often see a horse who ran in a couple MSW races at a Penn for 12k, took a two month break with little work pattern, then shows up at Saratoga in an MCL 45k and wins. Also, huge class drops are less of a concern at Saratoga as traineowner title are so important, hell just winning a race is huge so often people will be OK being claimed away to say, "My horse won at Saratoga". You also tend to see a lot of horses who have one or two not very impressive starts, go on the bench for a month or two and then appear at Saratoga and win from a no-name trainer and connections, things often don't pass the sniff test and are often live in doing so.
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Preview of the Bob Hope Stakes and more


Aqueduct Racetrack
Race: 8 (3:20 PM EST Post)
Key Cents Stakes
My Sassy Sarah has a lot of moving parts in this race doesn’t she? Good looking filly will be dropping in class, cutting back in distance and changing surfaces all in this one spot. I’m going to make an exception in this case for Horse Racing Betting 101 (never bet a horse who is trying something for the first time), as she will be trying the dirt for the first time. That said, her works suggest she’ll handle the surface change just fine…..slight edge in wide open horse race……………….Time Limit ran the best, or possibly second best, race of her life in her last. Chestnut filly by Bustin Stones led to deep stretch in the Grade: 3, open companied, Matron Stakes, so she too will be dropping in class and changing surfaces. The problem I’m seeing is her past dirt races vs. NYSB have been….meh….ok, I guess……………….Playtone scored the highest, last race (dirt) BSF (76) when pulverizing a field of maidens in her last. Simply said, she’s a serious contender is she runs back to that effort……………….Honorable Mentions: There are two ways to look at Single Verse. One, she is super consistent as her 5-1-4-0 record would indicate or two, she has a serious case of “second-it is”. Your call from there but, once again, upon paddock and pre-race warm up inspections, she will probably by on a couple of my exotics tickets…………….Shadolamo responded to “first time Lasix” by burying a field of maidens at the Finger Lakes in her last. Filly by Girolamo waltzed home almost a dozen lengths in front at staggering 1/20 post time odds. With all due respect, should any horse at the Finger Lakes ever be 1/20, none the less a maiden?...Intriguing filly.

Churchill Downs
Race: 10 (5:36 PM EST Post)
River City Handicap
Although Admission Office finished 11th in his last, it must be noted he was only beaten by a little over three lengths in the Grade: 1 Shadwell Mile. Also note, this handsome son of Point of Entry came roaring down the stretch to just miss in his two prior races as well, which were also against much better that what he will be facing in this spot. Solid work last week and Jose Ortiz gets the leg up…..looks best………….Although Emmaus has only won one time, he’s run very well in all six U.S starts. I found it interesting that he’s only run over a turf course labeled “firm” once in 13 career outings and that one race was a “just missed” second in a rapidly run seven furlong, Grade: 2 race…..figures close…………..Mr. Misunderstood towers over this field in money won, making him the most accomplished horse in this race and, more importantly, he is 4 for 5 on this turf course. Having said all that, he does appear to have lost a step somewhere along the lines as his 0 for 4 record in 2019 would indicate……………….Honorable Mentions: Get Western is a 5 year old gelding by Get Stormy who is 2 for 4 on the Churchill turf course. He shows a very nice speed sharpening work last week and should be in front as far as he goes here…………….Blue Sky Kowboy’s last two turf races were very good. Steps up here but could be coming late. Long-shot possibility?

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club
Race; 8 (7PM EST Post)
Bob Hope Stakes
It looks like trainer Bob Baffert holds all the cards in this race as he enters a solid 1-2 punch. It starts with Thousand Words, who is a $1 million yearling purchase by the late Pioneerof the Nile. Good looking colt stalked a fast pace in his debut, executed a brazen, three wide move on the turn and inched away late while coming home the last sixteenth in a very good :06.2 seconds………………It ends with his well named, stable-mate High Velocity, who also stalked the pace and come home strong while winning his debut as the 7/10 favorite. I love the four strong, five furlong moves since, with the last one (Nov. 11-1:00.3) looking a lot better than it does on paper…………………Strongconstitution is by up and coming sire Constitution who just missed in a restricted Stakes race after wiring maiden in his quickly run (turf) debut. Dark bay colt gets an (under-rated) rider change here, fired a bullet half mile last week and could be a menace here. My only issue with him is it did take him nearly :07 seconds to negotiate the last sixteenth in his last.
By: Gerard Apadula Director of Equine Operations and Development Knights of the Round Stable Thoroughbred Racing Team [email protected] 2019- Record: 76-225 = 34% 2018- Record: 107-261= 41% 2017- Record: 92-235 = 39% 2016- Record: 91-229 = 40% 2015- Record: 67-180 = 37% 2014- Record: 29-73 = 40% 2013- Record: 20-59= 34% 2012 -Record: 24-73= 33% 2011 –Record: N/A 2010- Record: 24-74= 33%
Little Bets N’ Pieces
**** Dennis' Moment, the betting favorite who ran last of eight in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile after stumbling badly at the start, was sent to WinStar Farm this week where he will receive a freshening before rejoining trainer Dale Romans' stable in Florida in mid-December.
"He looked good. For a few days he was a little (sore) up in his shoulders," Romans said.
Romans said the Feb. 29 Fountain of Youth Stakes at Gulfstream Park is his targeted race as a three year old.

**** Bravazo worked five furlongs in :59.4, the fastest of 26 at the distance, as he prepares for the $600,000 Clark Handicap Nov. 29 at Churchill Downs.
It was the sixth breeze for four year old son of Awesome Again since he was sidelined in March for surgery to remove a chip from his left knee.
"They brought him in and he's been doing remarkably well," said trainer D. Wayne Lukas. "He's filled out and matured. Some of those Awesome Agains get that way. They fill out, look better (nearing age) 5. He's training better or as well as I've ever seen him, and I've had him his whole life."

**** In winning her second Cartier Horse of the Year title Nov. 12, super mare Enable joined Frankel (2011, 2012) and Ouija Board (2004, 2006) as just the third horse to twice be named Cartier Horse of the Year.
In also being named Europe's champion older horse for 2019, Enable equaled the record of Frankel (again) in collecting five Cartier Racing Awards. (She also was named Cartier 3-year-old filly in 2017 and Cartier Older Horse in 2018).
"Bountiful talent combined with a courageous running style make her a joy to watch and it is no wonder that Enable is so popular with everyone in racing," said Cartier's racing consultant Harry Herbert.
"It is exciting that Prince Khalid Abdullah is keeping her in training for 2020, when she could become the first three-time Cartier Horse of the Year."

**** Four-time champion Beholder will be bred to Bolt d'Oro in 2020.
“We strongly considered breeding Beholder to Bolt d'Oro this past season, so it's a mating we've been excited about for some time. Frankly, Bolt d'Oro has been so tremendously in-demand that we decided to wait until 2020,” said Ned Toffey, general manager at Spendthrift. “One of the coolest things about this mating is it matches two of the fastest Grade 1-winning 2-year-olds that racing has seen in the last decade.”
Beholder, who is in foal to War Front with a January due date, has produced two offspring to date, including a yearling colt by Uncle Mo, named Q B One, and a weanling filly by Curlin.
Beholder retired from racing in 2016 after winning 18 of 26 starts with earnings of $6,156,600. She captured Eclipse Awards as the outstanding 2-year-old filly of 2012, 3-year-old filly of 2013, and older filly & mare of 2015 and 2016.
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The Devil's Advocate: An Argument FOR and AGAINST Every Horse in the Kentucky Derby

With the Kentucky Derby just over a week away, the field is shaping up to be one of the more evenly matched groups in recent years. Often the most overanalyzed 2 minutes in sports, there are countless articles telling you who to bet, who’s hot, and who’s not. Like many others, I’ve been spending a lot of my free time pouring over PPs, watching replays at the office (shh), and trying to find the likeliest winners. However, instead of simply writing an article about who I like, I thought it would be more interesting to give a brief argument for and against each horse in the Derby.

This ended up being a lot longer than I anticipated, so feel free to skim over horses or buckle down for a long read. It’s a bit of a different take, so I hope you enjoy.

Tacitus:
+ Tacitus is impeccably bred, by Tapit out of the stakes winning mare Close Hatches, and has improved in every start. He proved the Tampa Derby victory was no fluke when he displayed an ability to overcome adversity after getting knocked sideways at the break in the Wood Memorial.
- Tacitus came home very slow in the Wood, running a final 3/8ths in 38.2 seconds and a final 1f in 13.4 seconds. There have only been 3 horses to win the Derby who did not run a final 3f in at least 38 seconds or a final 1f in at least 13 seconds in the last 29 years (Animal Kingdom, Mine That Bird, and Silver Charm). 22 of the past 29 Derby winners qualified on both fractions. He also benefitted from a long shot significantly compromising some of his competition at the break.

Omaha Beach:
+ Despite taking some time to break his maiden, once the light bulb turned on for this horse nobody has been able to beat him. He owns the field’s second highest Beyer at 101, highest Thorograph figure at -2, and is proven over a fast and sloppy track. Mike Smith chose this horse over a very strong Baffert candidate in Roadster despite his connection with Baffert.
- Omaha Beach has peaked too early, and is a very strong bounce candidate in the Derby. His most recent thorograph figure of a -2 represents a 4 point jump from his previous top, and from 1995 onwards 64.3% of horses who ran a -2 or better in their final prep have significantly regressed in the Derby. As the likely favorite coming off of 2 very strenuous efforts, he is a play against.

Vekoma:
+ Vekoma ran arguably the best race of any 2-year-old in the Nashua, and looked very strong in the Bluegrass. He sat too close to a scorching pace in the Fountain of Youth first off the bench, but came right back with a solid win. He has the right run style to sit just off the pace and make his move, so he should be able to avoid trouble in a crowded field like the Derby pending the draw. A step forward is possible third off the layoff.
- Vekoma, like Tacitus, does not qualify on the final fractions theory, coming home in a pedestrian 39.4 / 13.4 seconds for the final 3f / 1f in the Bluegrass. He is an ugly mover, as he runs with a paddling motion with his front legs, and the bottom half of his pedigree with Speightstown as a damsire suggests 10f will be too far for him. He also was the main beneficiary of a strong speed bias at Keeneland that day for his final prep.

Plus Que Parfait:
+ Plus Que Parfait is the only horse in the field proven at a distance greater than 9f on dirt, as he convincingly won the ~9.5f UAE Derby. His pedigree suggests he should love the extra ground of the Derby. He was able to close into a track known for a speed bias, even in spite of a new surface.
- No horse who has used the UAE Derby as their Kentucky Derby prep has ever run in the top 3 in the Kentucky Derby, with the best finish coming being fifth in 2011. The race is historically a terrible prep for the Run for the Roses, and this year’s field seems even weaker than usual. PQP was routinely trounced by local US competition and had to ship abroad to face inferior horses to even make the gate.

Roadster:
+ Roadster was the horse Baffert was most excited about as a 2 year old, earning him the nickname of “The TMZ horse.” He has been a monster since getting throat surgery to fix a breathing issue, and has beaten the consensus “top” Baffert horse in Game Winner in the SA Derby. He’s shown versatility in his running style, displaying an ability to close last out but also possessing the tactical speed to avoid trouble. He has every right to improve in his third start as a 3 year old.
- Roadster was the beneficiary of a very poor trip from his main rival, Game Winner, who ended up going 4 wide around both turns in a short field. Roadster still barely got up to win by a half-length, and his thorograph number of 2.25 was actually 2 points worse than Game Winner (0.25). Roadster’s last 2 wins have come in fields of 6 and 5 horses, respectively, and he will now have to navigate 19 other horses. Mike Smith defects to Omaha Beach despite a strong connection with Baffert, and this horse will likely be a short price on Derby day due to the recent hype.

By My Standards:
+ By My Standards has been really turning heads in the mornings since getting to Churchill with some very impressive workouts. He comfortably won the Louisiana Derby at a big price, recording an impressive Beyer of 97. He has rapidly improved his last 2 starts, and another move forward makes him competitive with the best in this field.
- The Louisiana Derby has not produced a Kentucky Derby winner since Grindstone in 1996, and is historically a weak prep compared to the others. By My Standards caught a weak field and was very fortunate when the heavy favorite, War of Will, took a bad step in the early part of the race and failed to fire his usual effort. By My Standards has lost against mediocre horses multiple times before this, and it’s more likely his Louisiana Derby effort was a flash in the pan against a weak field than a true coming out party.

Maximum Security:
+ Maximum Security enters the Derby as the only undefeated horse in the field. Since the adoption of the Kentucky Derby points system, every Derby winner has gone undefeated in their 3 year old season. He owns the field’s highest Beyer at 102, and the co-second highest Beyer of 101, and is the only horse with multiple 100+ Beyer races on his resume. His thorographs are strong despite never being asked for his best. He has the right running style for the Derby, with a lot of early speed but not the type to need the lead, and he has yet to even be challenged by his competition.
- Maximum Security is in significantly over his head. The horse debuted for a 16k claiming tag, and he wasn’t even claimed. Servis then pointed him to a restricted starter allowance race, which he won easily. Despite two monster victories, Servis, a clever and high percentage trainer, still did not point him to a stakes or prep race, but instead brings him back in yet another starter allowance race. Servis is an intelligent trainer, and he tried giving this horse away in his debut, and then only thought enough of him to enter him in two separate restricted starter allowance races despite large victories. When he finally entered stakes company in the Florida Derby, he got to walk the dog on the lead and set absolutely laughable fractions, so slow that a maiden was able to finish second simply by being near the lead. This is a horse who is just happy to be here and will fold with any real pace pressure going 10f.

Game Winner:
+ Game Winner is the most battle tested and consistent horse in the field. He had a tough trip in the SA Derby going 4 wide where he was likely not cranked all the way up, and his Rebel Effort was impressive for the first race off a layoff losing an incredibly close photo to the likely Derby favorite Omaha Beach. He should love the extra ground, and goes out for a trainer who knows a thing or two about getting his horses peaking at the right time.
- Game Winner has not exactly lived up to his name, as he’s been runner up twice in both of his starts as a 3 year old after being undefeated as a juvenile. The horses Game Winner was beating as a 2 year old have proven to be relatively weak moving into their 3 year old season. No other runner in the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile even made the Kentucky Derby starting gate, with Signalman being closest listed as an Also Eligible. It could be fair to say that Game Winner may have matured a bit faster than his competition at 2, but now the field has caught up and he may have ceded an edge to the other top California based horses. He is the likeliest candidate in the field to hit the board, but it’s questionable if he will have that final kick to come in first.

Code of Honor:
+ Code of Honor ran a respectable third in a snails-paced Florida Derby where nobody was making up any ground. He goes out for top tier connections, and he has a jockey on board who is known for his ground saving trips. He has more tactical speed than some of the other deep closers in this field, so he should get first jump on the tiring leaders before the likes of Country House and Win Win Win can make their move.
- Code of Honor was the lucky beneficiary of an absolute pace meltdown in his Fountain of Youth victory, and in another 2 jumps Bourbon War was blowing right by him. He has not significantly improved on his thorograph 2 year old top, and would need a big jump forward coupled with a clean trip and a pace meltdown to even have a chance. There are other stalkers with more front speed than him and other closers with a better final kick.

Haikal:
+ Haikal has done little wrong in his career, with a record of 5: 3-1-1. He proved his Gotham score wasn’t a fluke by running a respectable third in the Wood, and he has one of the best closing kicks in the field. If the West’s elect to use MS as a rabbit and the pace heats up, look for him late.
- Haikal has managed to outrun his pedigree this far, but this is as far as talent will take him. A half-brother to Takaful, the 2017 G1 Vosburgh Sprint winner, this is a horse at his best running in a one turn mile or shorter. He was one of the few not significantly impacted by the poor start in the Wood, yet was still soundly beaten by the top two finishers.

Improbable
+ An early Derby favorite, Improbable’s only two losses have come by a combined length and a quarter with good excuses. He was very wide in both turns in the Rebel when getting nailed by Long Rang Toddy at the wire, and he acted up badly in the gate of the Arkansas when loading first and having to wait while trying blinkers for the first time. His natural ability and raw talent put him near the top of this field, and he has the second highest thorograph in the field with a -1. Any repeat of that effort or slight improvement is probably good enough to win.
- Improbable is another who is pedigree challenged to get the distance. City Zip is notorious for siring sprinters, and while the bottom side of his pedigree has stamina, his top side is pure speed. He gets yet another new rider, his third in three races. Baffert removes the blinkers after trying them last out, and you never like to see equipment changes trying to figure out a horse in the first Saturday in May.

War of Will
+ Draw a line through War of Will’s last race, as he lost all chance when he lost action in the first 100 yards. Outside of that, you have a horse who is undefeated on dirt, possesses a great stalking run style, and is bred to run for days. Proven over fast and off tracks, he has steadily improved and paired 1s on thorograph until the Louisiana Derby.
- War of Will breaks just about every Derby rule of thumb regarding final prep before the race. Final fraction, ground loss, finish no worse than fourth, he fails them all. Couple that with the chance that he is not 100% after the Louisiana Derby incident, and he becomes a horse who is very hard to trust.

Long Range Toddy
+ Long Rang Toddy is a horse who always tries his heart out. Toss his last race where he may not have cared for the slop, and you have a horse who is ultra-consistent and ever improving. He bested Improbable, one of the Baffert monsters, in the Rebel, and then likely bounced a bit in his last race. Another new top here could make him dangerous, as he projects to sit a good stalking trip.
- Long Range Toddy is a heartwarming story of a Remington Park horse making the Derby, but he just isn’t good enough. He only has one Beyer in the 90s, and even his best thorograph of 4 is significantly weaker than most of the field. He got lucky with a dream trip and a great ride to beat Improbable in the Rebel.

Tax:
+ Tax has seen massive improvement since Danny Gargan claimed him out of a maiden claiming $50,000 race back in October. He stumbled badly in the Withers yet came very strong to fight on and get the win. This horse is very game and has moved forward with each start. He was a good second to Tacitus in the Wood, and the result may have been different if Tacitus did not lean on him and induce him to the rail.
- Tax got a great trip in the Wood, as he was not dramatically impacted by the poor start and sat a perfect stalking trip behind two dueling leaders. Despite that, he still could not hold off Tacitus, who had a tougher trip all around. His final fractions are too slow, and he is simply an inferior version of Tacitus.

Cutting Humor:
+ Cutting Humor comes from the highly respected Pletcher barn after an impressive win over well-regarded Anothertwistafate in the Sunland Derby. His final 3f and 1f fractions are the fastest of any horse in the field today, and he is coming off a big effort. He gets 6 weeks rest to recover from that, making another big effort possible.
- Cutting Humor was beaten soundly in the Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn, and he had to go to a much easier spot to secure his place in the starting gate on May 4th. No winner of the Sunland Derby has even won the Kentucky Derby, with Mine That Bird being the only horse to prep at Sunland and win the Kentucky Derby at odds of 50-1. His final fraction times are artificially inflated due to how fast the track was playing that day, evidenced by his “just okay” Beyer of 95.

Win Win Win:
+ Win Win Win ran a lightning fast race in the Pasco Stakes at Tampa, and a repeat of that effort makes him very dangerous here. His last few losses have come with excuses, as he broke very slowly and was very wide in the Tampa Derby while favored over Tacitus. In the Bluegrass, he was the only horse to make up ground on the speed favoring track all day, and he was steadied badly while entering the stretch. It was very impressive to make up ground after losing all momentum, and he may have won that race with a better trip.
- Win Win Win can’t get out of his own way. He repeatedly breaks very poorly from the gate and has morphed from a horse running near the lead into a dead closer. He has a penchant for troubled trips, and his best races have come in shorter races. Julien Pimentel and Michael Trombetta are a respectable jockey/trainer pair, but they are outclassed against the best connections in the country.

Country House:
+ Country House has one of the best closing kicks in this entire field. He has been a bit of a slow learner, as he often breaks slow and lugged in down the stretch, but he has matured with every start. He may have run down War of Will if not for some green racing down the stretch in the Risen Star. He has never been out of the money in all his tries on dirt and looms a major threat when turning for home.
- Ultra-deep closers like Country House are massively disadvantaged in the Kentucky Derby since the inception of the points system, and Country House routinely spots the field 10 lengths from the onset. There is not a lot of early pace signed on in this field, and he would need an absolute pace meltdown with a dream trip to have a chance of getting the win. He lost ground in the stretch run of the Arkansas Derby to both Omaha Beach and Improbable, never something you want to see from your deep closer.

Gray Magician:
+ Gray Magician took a nice step forward when switching to the Peter Miller barn and stretching out in distance and moved forward again when going from the 1-mile races in California to the 1900m UAE Derby. It’s quite possible he further improves adding another furlong at Churchill. He has some tactical speed, so he could sit a nice trip just off the leaders to avoid trouble.
- He’s simply too slow. His career best Beyer is nearly 20 points slower than the top contenders here, and he was embarrassed when facing competition in California who weren’t good enough to even make the Derby trying US preps. The UAE Derby was very weak, and it is a poor prep even with a strong field.

Spinoff:
+ Spinoff was very impressive in his 3-year-old debut, winning by daylight in a Tampa allowance race before running a respectable second in the Louisiana Derby. He has the perfect run style, listed as an E/P 7 (pace pressing) on Brisnet, which has produced the most Derby winners in recent years (Justify, American Pharoah, California Chrome). His pedigree suggests he should handle the distance, and he’s lightly raced and eligible to continue improving.
- Todd Pletcher, an unquestionably excellent trainer, boasts a record of 2 for 49 in the Kentucky Derby. Velasquez, the routine first call pilot for the Pletcher barn and normal rider of Spinoff, ends up on Code of Honor instead. In the Louisiana Derby, Spinoff had every right to win that race turning for home and instead was easily passed by a 22-1 maiden facing winners for the first time in By My Standards. He is not as battle tested as others, so he may not respond well to the large field and massive crowd at Churchill.

Master Fencer:
+ Master Fencer is the only horse in the field to have run 10 furlongs, not once but twice, albeit on the turf. He finished second and fourth in those efforts while not embarrassing himself in either.
- Master Fencer is just a horse who is happy to be here, as his presence opens the Derby to Japanese betting markets. Foreign horses typically do terribly in the Derby, he is a dead closer, and he wasn’t even Japan’s top point earner. In fact, there were 3 Japanese horses ahead of him in the points standings, all of whom declined the invitation to the Derby. He was beaten by Derma Louvre in the Hyacinth, who went on to run a non-threatening 4th in the UAE Derby.
Edit: thank you kind internet strangers for the silver and gold! My first of each!
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Preview of the Delaware Handicap, Diana Stakes and more

Saturday, July 13, 2019
Delaware Park
Race: 8 (5:25 PM EST Post)
Delaware Handicap

Elate bounced back to Graded Stakes form when coming from behind to take down the Fleur de Lis at Churchill last time out. This daughter of “King of the (sales) Ring” Medaglia d’Oro was impressive powering past her rivals down the lane while getting the last furlong in a swift :12.1. She has worked well since and she is 2 for 2 on this oval………………..The multiple Graded Stakes winner, yet still underrated Blue Prize was head strong on the first turn of the aforementioned Fleur de Lis last time out and didn’t offer much of an answer when Elate came to her in mid stretch. However, this seven time winner, of over a million bucks, will be making her third start off the layoff in this spot and that 6F work (1:12 flat) was strong, signaling she might be ready to run another big one here………………….Escape Clause is a win machine as her 20 for 30 career record would indicate. This five year old mare gave the mega talented Midnight Bisou all she could handle two starts back and had several excuses in her last (may have bounced slightly off such a tremendous effort and got caught up in a strong early pace). Leave her out of your exotics plays at your own risk…………………….Honorable Mentions: Gotham Gala ran the best race of her life in her initial try on this oval in her last, which is the perennial prep race for this. This $260,000 daughter of Smart Strike figures to be on or near the lead early once again in here and could prove difficult to run down late……………After showing little on the grass last time out, Promise of Spring return to her preferred surface (dirt), where she’s hit the board in 11 of 16 tries.

Saratoga Race Course
Race: 3 (2:10 PM EST Post)
Sanford Stakes
These 2YO races are far and away the toughest to figure. This time of year these horses’ forms are volatile and can improve or go downhill quicker than a hiccup. Of course, having such little info (few races) to go off of is another nightmare. That said, I’ll take By Your Side who ran the last half of a furlong in sub :07 seconds to take his Churchill Downs and racing debut. The way this colt by Constitution came running late makes me think the stretch out in distane here should only help him…………………..Cucina appears to be a huge threat in this spot. After just missing in his debut, this colt beat maidens in the slop while getting 5F in a fleet :58 flat…..looks next best……………..Raging Whiskey is a California invader who broke his maiden by a wide margin in his second career start.

Race: 9 (5:46 PM EST Post)
Diana Stakes
The 2019 Diana is an intriguing race in several levels. First off, it drew yet another small field (six) with four of them trained by Chad Brown. Also, it pits 2018 Older Female Turf Champion Sistercharlie against another one of the better turf fillies in training today in Rushing Fall as well as unbeaten in this country, Homerique with yes you guessed it all three being trained by Brown. All that being said, you can throw a blanket over all three and pick one as they are almost impossible to separate. So much so, I might pass this race.
However, if I change my mind (and I probably will) I would have to stick with Champion Sistercharlie, who capped off a sensational campaign last year with a furious late run to win the BC Filly and Mare Turf. Good looking mare sports an 11-7-3-0 record overall with the elephant in the room being will she be ready as this will be her first start since the Breeders Cup in Nov?....................It might be betting suicide to put Rushing Fall, a mega talented turf filly who is an astounding 9-8-1-0 in her career, in the two slot. Her last race in the Grade: 1 Just a Game Stakes was one of the most impressive races I’ve seen all year long. After cruising through the first five furlong of that race, this filly dropped her head, leveled off and came home the last quarter supersonic :22.2….needless to say, in taking Sistercharlie, this filly scares the daylights out of me………………………………….As I mentioned earlier, Homerique is 2 for 2 since arriving from France. The gray filly by Exchange Rate overcame slows paces in both races, which is one of many telltale since of a quality racehorse. Her speed figure are in the same zip code as her stablemates (the top two) and she should be coming late once again in this spot……………………….Honorable Mentions: The speedy Mitchell Road, who has sports record of 7-5-2-0, merits attention as well. Good looking mare by English Channel should be the one to catch on the turn for home……………………Secret Message won her last two with strong late runs. Steps WAY up here however.

Los Alamitos
Race: 6
Los Alamitos Derby (6:28 PM EST Post)
The 2019 Los Alamitos Derby continues the trend for short fields this weekend as just four are entered. It almost appears as though the race was written for 2018 Two Year Old Champion Game Winner, who makes his first start since his valiant run in the Kentucky Derby. I’m not seeing a way to beat him as he absolutely towers over this field and his work line resembles an Uzi 9 millimeter (non stop “bullet” works). This is probably one of those rare occurrences where you might see a horse go off at 1-20 odds……………………After chasing the talented Visitant, Mucho Gusto and Anothertwistafate, Game Winner stable mate Kingly looks next best by a wide margin…………………..I have to go with Feeling Strong, who won his last and will be breaking out of state bred competition for the first time for the show dough, as my only other choice is a maiden who is 0 for 12 in his career.

Indiana Downs
Race: 8 (9:10 PM EST Post)
Indiana Oaks
Chocolate Kisses has shown very little in her last three but you must note the enormous class drop she is taking in this spot. $410,000 daughter of Candy Ride ran in back to back Grade: 1’s, including the Kentucky Oaks, and had a failed turf experiment in her last. She will be cutting back in distance here and clearly will not be facing anything near was she’s been lately……………..After pulling an 11-1 upset in the Grade: 2 Fair Ground Oaks two starts back, Street Band will also be coming out of the Kentucky Oaks so she too should relish the class drop vs. these………………The rest are rather difficult to separate but I’ll go with Kim K for the show dough. This $335,000 daughter of Will Take Charge seems to have improved greatly from last year, highlighted by ripping off fast early fractions and wiring a $75,000 optional field in her last. What made it more impressive is she broke from the #9 post that day. In this spot, she’ll break from the rail, which is a serious tactical advantage for her and, oh by the way, the #1 post at this meet so far is winning at a 25% rate…………………………..Honorable Mentions: With Dignity has used impressive late runs to win her first two starts. Note how she encountered serious traffic issues down the back side of her last race but yet blew past the early leaders down the lane for the win….Steps up but could easily better this rating……………..If you ignore Blessed Again’s failed turf experiment in her last, you’ll see an impressive maiden breaking win before going on to beat $75,000 optionals by a colossal margin……………….Sweet Diane has yet to be off the board in six career starts, including finishing within shouting distance of Street Band in the Fair Grounds Oaks this past spring.

Race: 9 (10:02 PM EST Post)
Indiana Derby
Mr. Money is sharp as a tack right now. The son of Goldencents won back to back Grade: 3’s by wide margins at Churchill in his last two. Good looking colt’s speed figures are higher and more consistent than these as well…......………Math Wizard is quietly having a very good year, highlighted by finishing less than five lengths behind Tacticus at 65-1 in the Wood Memorial back in April. Since then, he’s faced an improving Laughing Fox and a really improving Owendale and held his own in both. Looks next best………………Fan favorite Long Range Toddy has been in training, and running once a month for the past 10 months now, and on paper, it looks like that brutal schedule is catching up to him. He was overmatched two and three races back but I saw no visible excuses for his disappointing effort in the Ohio Derby at 2-1 odds in his last…………………Honorable Mentions: Although running admirably, Alwaysmining went down in flames as the even money favorite in the Easy Goer at Belmont in his last, further fueling my speculation that he is a vastly different horse anywhere but on his home track (Laurel)…..Find out more about that on Saturday night……………………Gray Magician is not as bad as his 1 for 9 record indicates. Make no mistake, this gray colt has talent. I’m just not sure how much a trip across the world (Dubai) and then running in the most physical race in the country (Kentucky Derby) less than five weeks later, has taken out of him……………………….. I love Roiland’s running style. Although somewhat inconsistent with it, he possesses a big closing kick which is always fun to watch. Listen, if he gets a nuclear meltdown type early pace, stranger things have happened………………….If, and that a big “if”, Frolic More can handle the class rise, he could be a menace in here as he is clearly in career best form right now.

By: Gerard Apadula
Director of Equine Operations and Development
Knights of the Round Stable Thoroughbred Racing Team
[[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])
2019- Record: 43-124 = 35%
2018- Record: 107-261= 41%
2017- Record: 92-235 = 39%
2016- Record: 91-229 = 40%
2015- Record: 67-180 = 37%
2014- Record: 29-73 = 40%
2013- Record: 20-59= 34%
2012 -Record: 24-73= 33%
2011 –Record: N/A
2010- Record: 24-74= 33%

Little Bets N’ Pieces:
**** In the “about freaking time” category Colonial Downs Group/owners announced plans to name its turf course after the immortal Secretariat.
Secretariat was born at Meadow Stable in Doswell, Va., in 1970. He became a global phenomenon after his tour de force 1973 Triple Crown win while setting track records in all three of the classic races.
The Secretariat Turf Course will be ready when Colonial Downs opens for live racing Aug. 8. The partnership is part of an agreement with the Tweedy family, who owned him while on the track, and Secretariat.com that also will feature an annual Secretariat Day at the racetrack as well.
"Colonial Downs is thrilled to partner with the Tweedy family and spotlight one of Virginia racing's brightest stars, who was foaled less than 50 miles from our own gates," said Jill Byrne, Colonial Downs Vice President of Racing operations. "Secretariat's enduring legacy continues to reverberate with new generations of fans, and it is only fitting that Colonial Downs recognizes this native son of the Commonwealth."
"My family and I are excited that live racing has returned to Virginia and that we can contribute by sharing the legacy of Secretariat." said Kate Chenery Tweedy, daughter of Penny Chenery. "The Secretariat Turf Course will no doubt witness great racing contests, something my mother and my grandfather would have especially loved to see. Our family also applauds Colonial Downs for their efforts to engage existing horse lovers and generate new racing fans."
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Preview of the Arkansas Derby and more

With the Kentucky Derby now just three weeks away, our highlighted race of the week will be the last prep race for the Derby in the Grade: 1, $1 million Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas.
We will also be looking at the Oaklawn Handicap, a Grade: 2, $750,000 nine furlong contest also for four year olds and up.
Elsewhere, we will take a look at three Graded Stakes races at Keeneland Race Course. The Ben Ali Stakes for four year olds and up, the Jenny Wiley Stakes, an 8 ½ furlong test for four year olds and up fillies and mares on the turf and the Lexington Stakes for three year olds who are desperately trying for some last minute Kentucky Derby points in hopes that a win or a good showing will catapult them into this year’s “Run for the Roses”.
Lastly, on Sunday we will be examining the Grade: 1, $750,000 Apple Blossom back at Oaklawn Park, another 8 ½ furlong race for four year olds and up fillies and mares.
Saturday, April 13, 2019
Keeneland Race Course
Race: 7 (4:24 PM EST Post)
Ben Ali Stakes
If you look up “racehorse rounding back into top form” in the dictionary you might see a picture of Flameaway. The one time Kentucky Derby threat ran a very good third in the Grade: 3 Mineshaft off a nearly six month break two starts back. I really like the way this $400,000 son of Scat Daddy won his last, as he took pace pressure every step of the way while wiring the field. That last race, back to back excellent works since and this being his third start off the layoff, all point to another good effort upcoming. Lastly, I don’t see him having any problems in what is projected to be an off track on Saturday.…………………….Based off his last two races, a win and a fast closing third, both at Laurel Park, Bonus Points also seems to be in peak form right now. The Todd Pletcher trainee draws a good post for his running style and should be coming late in this spot……………………… I know Solomini is quite popular but I’m not a big fan of his. In fact, I believe he is one of the most overrated horses in quite some time…maybe since Keen Ice. Yes, he’s a Grade: 1 winner and yes, he’s hit the board in 9 of 11 career starts but two facts stand out about him to me. 1) He’s won one race since that Grade: 1 win (a span of 16 months) and that was against $40,000 optional claimers and 2) the fact still remains he is 2 for 11 lifetime. This son of Curlin will likely be over bet in this spot. ………….Honorable Mentions: Third Day is a $575,000 son of the corvette looking Bernardini who did well to finish third in the aforementioned Mineshaft Handicap in his last. This handsome colt was trapped behind a slow pace yet finished just a neck behind Flameaway in that race and his one and only race in the slop was an impressive win. Bottom line here is, he could better this rating especially if the track does come up wet…………………The cleverly named Nun the Less looks better suited for the synthetics but note he is 2 for 2 on off tracks. Merits a longshot look if the rains come…………….First Mondays, a $450,000 son of Curlin who missed the break in his last, and Just Whistle, who was a good third in the Peter Pan Stakes last year, both could run well here and neither would be a huge surprise.

Race: 9 (5:34 PM EST Post)
Stonestreet Lexington
Anothertwistafate rattled off three super impressive, large margined wins over the synthetics this year but looked just as good, if not better, in his neck loss last time out in the Sunland Park Derby on the dirt. This $360,000 son of Scat Daddy sat just off screaming early fractions (:45.3, 1:09.3, 1:34.3) before “running on” to just miss the win. Note the :24 second flat internal fraction as it’s the sign of a quality runner. If this handsome, smooth strided colt, who ripped a sensational half mile work for this (:46.4) last week runs well enough here to make it into the Derby (he’s on the threshold on points), no one better go to sleep on him as he appears to have big time talent and would pose an enormous threat………………….Based off his close up, on the board finishes in the Sham, Southwest and Louisiana Derby, Sueno clearly looks next best………………….I really liked Zenden’s Tampa Bay Derby effort at 20-1 in his last. This son of Fed Biz normally assumes a stalking position early on in his races but in the Tampa Bay Derby, this horse blew the gate and ripped off super fast fractions (:22.3, 45.4 and 1:09.3). He understandably tired late but I thought he did extremely well to finish fourth and was only be beaten by four lengths to the likes of Tacitus and Win Win Win. Looks best of the rest here………………..Honorable Mentions: Call me stubborn, but I’m STILL not giving up on the late running Roiland, who has a habit of running well at double digit odds………………Anyone have any idea what to do with Harvey Wallbanger, who wins the Holy Bull at 30-1 then comes back and completely tanks in the Florida Derby? Because I sure don’t. He’s a tough horse to play with such inconsistencies…………If you are hunting a longshot in this race, take a good look at Shang, who is a neck shy of being unbeaten in five starts vs. lesser. Although he obviously will be taking a huge step up in class, it should be noted he ran the last 2 ½ furlongs of his last race in an excellent :30.1, his speed figures are climbing, he handles the wet track very well and the #1 post at this meet is winning at 18% thus far.
Race: 10 (6:12 PM EST Post)
Jenny Wiley Stakes
Rushing Fall is a very special filly. This gorgeous, $320,000 daughter of More Than Ready is 6 for 7 in her career, has already captured two Grade: 1 wins and, had it not been for a questionable ride when losing her one race by a neck, she could be unbeaten. There is nothing not to like about her as she can handle the distance, is adaptable to any pace scenario, handles any “give” in the turf and is 3 for 3 at Keeneland. If you are looking to beat her, which might prove futile, you can use the angle that this will be her first start in exactly 6 months but that’s not enough for me……………………I like Rymska. She is a big, all black (very rare) five year old mare who is 7 for 13 in her career. This multiple Graded Stakes winner could not have looked any better in taking down the Hillsborough at Gulfstream in her last and you get the third start off the layoff angle. Easily looks next best here…………………Bellavais has been gradually improving since October. $485,000 mare by Tapit finished very well in her last and won her previous time out, both at Gulfstream Park. It appears she too can handle a soft turf course and has been on the board in 10 of 15 career races…………….Honorable Mentions: Onthemoonagain is a French invader who has fared very well in all four U.S. starts. Chad Brown trainee could better this rating with the right pace scenario……………Got Stormy came back running off a long layoff when whipping high level optionals. Steps up but that race could set her up for a good effort here……………….The longshot horse in this race is Princess Warrior, who looks overmatched on paper but note her two races on off turf courses were both very good.
Oaklawn Park
Race: 9 (6:22 PM EST Post)
Oaklawn Handicap
After back to back big efforts at “big balloons,” Rated R Superstar has methodically worked his way back into what appears to be top form. Although his rider is ice cold right now, he does like this track and seems to be ok if it rains as expected. …my best guess in an extremely wide open horse race…………………….Giant Expectations disappointed as the 8/5 favorite in the Essex in his last. This 6 year old by Giant Frost chased Battle of Midway and McKinzie two back and wasn’t embarrassed by any stretch, so you know he has ability. It’s the consistency I question as he hasn’t won a horse race of any kind in 16 months. That said he looks next best…………….Quip was up against it when he had to chase the absolutely streaking right now Prince Lucky in his first race back off a long layoff. This good looking son of Distorted Humor did well to finish third in that race and should be tighter for this…………………Honorable Mentions: Tenfold’s claim to fame is running Justify to three quarters of a length in the 2018 Preakness Stakes. This son of Curlin was a very close up fourth in his first race since, handles the slop just fine and should improve off his 2019 debut. Figures close………………Lone Sailor figures to do his normal “drop way back early but come with big run late only to fall short late” routine. Logically, the faster the pace, the better his chances are and the pace figures to be honest in this race……………..Keep an eye on Chris and Dave here too if it rains. Although he seems overmatched, he is 4 for 6 on wet tracks…………..I got to spend several minutes up close and personal with Lookin’ at Lee last year at Saratoga before the Travers. He is a very nice looking, well made horse, but he just hasn’t run to those looks as his 3 for 21 career record would indicate.
Race: 11 (7:43 PM EST Post)
Arkansas Derby
There are a lot of “moving parts” with the big, almost perfectly strided, Improbable, so this race should tell the tale of where we stand with him. His last race, The Rebel, didn’t answer any questions for me. In fact, it seems to have posed more. Let’s start with why he was run down in deep stretch by Long Range Toddy. Was it because he was “parking lot” wide, off a boneheaded ride by DVD, throughout the entire race and, with that being his first race in 10 weeks, maybe he understandably tired late? I don’t know, like I’ve said before, Baffert is the master at sending them out ready, regardless of the situation. Was it the City Zip breeding that is causing the dreaded distance limitation? I don’t know that yet either being he romped, not once but twice, at 8 ½ furlongs before. Whatever the answers are, I know this much….Baffert is not sitting on his hands with this gorgeous colt. I don’t blame him one bit for making a rider change (from DVD to Jose Ortiz) and he is adding blinkers in this spot as well. I absolutely LOVED his last work where, with blinkers on, he sat just off his work mate, passed him on the turn for home and was "reaching out" soooooooooo beautifully down the lane I mumbled “wow” while stopping the clock in either 1:13.3 or 1:14 flat depending on what racing publication you read. This might prove futile, but I am sticking with him until he proves otherwise. That said, this race is a “do or die” for him. He will need to step up right now, in this spot to remain a serious Derby threat………………………….Horse Racing is a lot like other sports in the sense that the best baseball/basketball/football team doesn’t always win, but more of who gets hot heading into the playoffs. In this case, it’s who is getting good at just the right time and, aside from Tacitus and perhaps Vekoma, is there another horse in the country who is getting good right now more that Omaha Beach? After losing a couple of heart breaking, maiden races earlier in his career, this very handsome, very well bred colt (by War Front out of a mare super sire from years ago Seeking the Gold) ran a hole in the wind in the slop to finally break his maiden two starts back. He won by 9 that day and stopped the clock in a blistering 1:21 flat for seven panels. His next and last start was in a division of the Rebel, where he assumed command early, fended off a few others early in the race and then dug in and fended off none other than Two Year Old Colt Champion Game Winner in a thrilling stretch run. The Rebel proved two things. 1) He can handle the route distance and 2) he has the guts of a tight rope walker. Back to back bullet works since the Rebel signal he is holding form and possibly getting better. Big Money Mike gets the leg up……………….The aforementioned Long Range Toddy is a stretch runner who is 7-4-1-1 in his career has never finished more than two lengths behind the winner in his three career defeats. That, readers, is consistency. He draws the extreme outside post which could actually help him in this spot and I love his work pattern since his Rebel upset (8-1) win……………….Honorable Mentions: Although Galilean was passed in the stretch of the Rebel by Long Range Toddy, I still like this very handsome, $600,000 son of Uncle Mo. After annihilating Cal-Breds in his two prior races, this colt, who has a very efficient and smooth stride, did very well to finish third, beaten by less than three lengths in his first try vs. open company and outside the state of California as well. Bottom line here is, he is no easy throw out……………………...Country House is another late runner who, on the surface, looks to be struggling a bit outside the friendly confines of Gulfstream Park but a closer look shows he had legitimate excuses both times. He broke slowly (again) and chased a streaking War of Will two back and, after you guessed it, breaking slowly again, he was ridiculously wide in the Louisiana Derby. That said, this son of Lookin’ at Lucky could be a menace with a clean break and what is projected to be a hot early pace………………….Gray Attempt has won 4 of 6 in his career and is 2 for 3 on this oval plus he recorded a monster work in the mud last week (5F- :58.3). The problem I’m seeing with him is a mile or a mile a sixteenth looks to be “all of it.” In other words, on paper he looks better suited to sprinting.

Sunday, April 14, 2019
Oaklawn Park
Race: 8 (4:42 PM EST Post)
Apple Blossom
This year’s renewal of the Apple Blossom features a rematch from the Azeri Stakes with two of the best older females in the land in Elate and Midnight Bisou and this race figures to be a doozy. Midnight Bisou, who I liked since early last year, got the better of it last time and I’m sticking to my guns that she has a world of talent, will continue to get better and have a tremendous year when it’s all said and done. Four year old by Midnight Lute is off to a good start (2 for 2) in winning the Houston Ladies Classic in January and the aforementioned Azeri in March. She “takes her racetrack with her” as she is 7 for 13 in her career while winning on four different ovals in all parts of the country. Lastly, I believe she still holds a fitness edge over main rival Elate as this will be her third start (off the layoff) while Elate will be making her second start in eight months…………………….Elate is clearly the main threat in this spot. Head hunters in New Guinea could see this two time Grade: 1 winner needed her last as it was her first start in eight months. Filly by Medaglia d’ Oro did very well to finish second in the Azeri when beaten by just one length as the even money favorite. When I was at Belmont Park (before heading over to Aqueduct for the Wood Memorial) last week, I heard several folks on the backstretch talk about how she may not be coming back the same as last year after, by trainer Bill Mott’s admittance, “a few minor injuries”. I’ll give her a mulligan for the Azeri but like Improbable this weekend, she needs to improve off the Azeri to prove that theory wrong………………….Wonder Gadot is another who probably needed her first race of 2019 when finishing second vs. optional $50,000 claimers on March 8 as it was her first start in over four months. Another daughter of “King of the (sales) Ring” Medaglia d’ Oro, this filly actually won two thirds of the Canadian Triple Crown (beating the boys) last year and still has that very long and flowing stride, which is especially good when on her right handed lead………………..Honorable Mention: Escape Clause is an absolute win machine while registering a mind boggling 20 wins in 30 career starts. Granted, she was beating up on far lesser competition at smaller tracks for most of it but still that’s quite a feat. That said, she did win a Grade: 2 at Santa Anita in January and could not have looked any better while blowing out her rivals at Sunland Park in her last. Mare by Going Commando (how did the Jockey Club miss that name by the way?), who stands for less than $1,000, won by 7+, getting a mile in a track record 1:34 flat.

By: Gerard Apadula
Director of Equine Operations and Development
Knights of the Round Stable Thoroughbred Racing Team
[[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])
2019- Record: 22-72 = 31% (My Plays: -$2,314.14)
2018- Record: 107-261= 41%
2017- Record: 92-235 = 39%
2016- Record: 91-229 = 40%
2015- Record: 67-180 = 37%
2014- Record: 29-73 = 40%
2013- Record: 20-59= 34%
2012 -Record: 24-73= 33%
2011 –Record: N/A
2010- Record: 24-74= 33%
Little Bets N’ Pieces
****Superstar Winx makes her final career start in the Group: 1 Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Royal Randwick. If her win streak continues, this will be her 33rd straight win and 25th Group: 1. The scheduled post time is 11:05 p.m. ET on Friday, April 12th.

**** Lady Pauline, a half-sister to Lady Aurelia, was an eye catching, first time out winner last week at Keeneland.
Going off at an enormous 1-5 betting favorite, the Stonestreet homebred blew the gate and showed a very impressive speed to win by 9 3/4 lengths, stopping the clock in :51:3 for 4 ½ furlongs.
We’ll need to keep an eye on her moving forward.

****In all my years of being involved in this sport, I’m not sure I’ve seen a stronger book of mares to be bred to one first year stallion ever.
Justify, who stands at Coolmore’s Ashford Stud in Paris, KY., for $150,000, has the following list of mares booked: (although this is not all of them)
A Raving Beauty Multiple G1 winner
A Z Warrior G1 winner
Afleet Maggi Dam of G1 winner Dream Tree
African Jade Dam of G1 winner Lord Nelson
Appealing Zophie G1 winner, dam of Belmont Stakes winner Tapwrit
Bar of Gold Won Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint
Bella Jolie Dam of champion sprinter Runhappy
Birdatthewire G1 winner
Blossomed Dam of G1 winner Sippican Harbor
Brave Anna G1 winner
Bubbler Dam of champion Arrogate
Caledonia Road Champion 2-year-old filly
Champagne Room Champion 2-year-old filly
Charming Dam of champion 2-year-old filly Take Charge Brandi,
Classic Strike Dam of G1 winner Union Strike
Dazzling Song Dam of G1 winner Magnum Moon
Diamondsandrubies G1 winner
Diva Delite Dam of G1 winner Midnight Bisou
Dream Dancing G1 winner
D’Wildcat Speed Dam of filly Lady Aurelia
Emma’s Encore G1 winner
Found won Breeders’ Cup Turf
Got Lucky G1 winner
Grace Hall G1 winner
Grazie Mille Dam of G1 winner Mo Town
Groupie Doll Two-time champion female sprinter and winner of the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint
Havre de Grace 2011 Horse of the Year, sold for $10 million
Ithinkisawapudycat Dam of G1 winner Sweet Loretta,
Khancord Kid Dam of Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint winner Bar of Gold
Kosmo’s Buddy Dam of G1 winner Knicks Go
Mining My Own Dam of Kentucky Derby winner Mine That Bird and G1 winner Dullahan
Misty For Me G1 winner, dam of Cartier champion 2-year-old colt U S Navy Flag
Moonshine Memories G1 winner
Morena dam of Belmont Stakes winner Creator
Noted and Quoted G1 winner
Pretty ‘n’ Smart Dam of G1 winner Cupid
Rare Event Dam of G1 winner Improbable
Sambuca Classica Dam of champion 2-year-old male Classic Empire
Silk and Scarlet Dam of G1 winner Master of Hounds
Silky Serenade Dam of G1 winner Restless Rider,
So Sharp of G1 winner Sharp Azteca
Storm Dixie Dam of Kentucky Oaks winner Princess of Sylmar
Tapestry G1 winner
Together Forever: G1 winner
Turbulent Descent G1 winner
Untouched Talent dam of G1 winner Bodemeister
Vale Dori G1 winner
Yellow Heat Dam of G1 winner R Heat Lightning
Zipessa G1 winner
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Kentucky Derby 2019 Analysis

**Just a little background: I have posted my father's Derby write up the past few years and it seems to get a good response. If anyone has any questions I can see if he can answer them. Good luck!
"I have been writing this analysis of the Kentucky Derby since 1983, but as I sit down to write this year’s analysis, I am awed by the fact that this will be my 50th consecutive Derby. So, from that standpoint, this write up is very special.
First an overview of this year’s field: -The field will consist of 20 colts, 19 from America and one from Japan. -These colts will be trained by 16 different trainers, only 3 of these trainers have previously won the Derby. The other 13 will be trying to win it for the first time. -The colts entered in the race are a lightly raced group, much like last year’s entrants. However, this year’s colts are more lightly raced than last year’s – an average of 5.5 career starts (last year’s colts averaged 5.9 career starts before the Derby). -Last year I spoke about the way trainers were being very cautious in the number of races they are giving their charges. Well that trend is continuing this year. This year 10 colts have fewer than 6 career starts, half the field! -Additionally, 8 colts are going into the Derby with only 2 starts as a 3-YO. Back in the good old days (the 1980’s and 90’s), these lightly raced colts’ chances of winning the race were pretty slim, but today this is the norm among Derby entrants. -While the field is light on experience, they are long on earnings – 3 of them are already millionaires, a testament to the lofty purses colts are running for these days.
I will now begin my analysis of all 20 colts (no fillies are entered this year), listing them in the order of points they have accumulated going into the Derby. But please remember that the order I analyze them in is probably not the order that I see them finishing the race.
Tacitus: This son of Tapit is one of two colts in the race trained by Bill Mott who is seeking his first Kentucky Derby win. Tacitus has only 4 lifetime starts, including 2 this year. Many people felt that his win in the 1-1/8-mile Wood Memorial at Aqueduct was the best prep race of any of the 3-YOs this year. The winner of the Wood has gone on to win the Kentucky Derby 11 times, but the last Wood/Derby winner was in 2000. It seems like the “bloom is off the rose” as far as Wood winners repeating in Louisville. Though he has only raced 4 times in his career, his speed figures have increased as the distances have gotten longer – a good sign for a colt trying a 1-1/4 miles race in the Derby. I am a little concerned that he is untested against Grade 1 company (the Wood was a Grade 2 race), but I am sure he will take some play from the bettors come Derby day. I may have to use him in my exotic bets ( bets other than win, place & show) in the Derby.
Omaha Beach: This colt has never been out of the money in 7 career starts. However, it took him 5 tries to break his maiden – not necessarily an encouraging sign. He has been the favorite in 6 of his 7 races, so he is somewhat of a “money burner”. However, that being said, he may very well be the favorite in the Derby and he gets the services of Mike Smith who had to choose between Omaha Beach and Roadster. I believe that the betting money will follow “Big Money Mike” on Derby day. Note that Mike Smith has only won 2 Kentucky Derbies from probably 20 or more mounts – not a good record for such an established rider. A couple of things that I don’t like about Omaha Beach; he began his career with 3 races on the grass before switching to dirt, 2 of his 3 wins have come on sloppy tracks with his other win by a narrow nose on a fast dirt surface. On the other hand, he has beaten proven colts in Game Winner (last year’s 2-YO champion) and Improbable (winner of the GR 1 Los Alamitos Futurity). His trainer, Richard Mandella, will be trying to win his 1st Derby (he is 0 for 6 in the race) with this colt and I have to say that he has as good a chance as anybody to win.
Vekoma: Another lightly raced colt with only 4 career starts, including 2 this year, and, like Tacitus, he is untested against Grade 1 company. Trained by George Weaver, who is seeking his 1st Derby win, this colt won the BlueGrass Stakes beating Win Win Win and Signalman – two colts he may face in Louisville. The BlueGrass has produced 10 Derby winners, but none since 1991. He is a well-travelled colt, each of his starts has come over a different track. I have always liked this colt, he has a good late turn of foot (how fast he is) and being out of Candy Ride, the Derby distance should not be a problem. However, he has a weird way of “moving”; in the stretch he seems to “paddle” his left front leg. This may not serve him well in the long stretch at CD. Also, his trainer does not have a very good record in graded stakes competition, winning at only a 6% rate. I think he will present some good odds come Derby day and just might be a must use in the exotics.
Plus Que Parfait: This colt’s claim to fame is that he won the $2.5M UAE Derby in Dubai in March. He is trained by Brendan Walsh who is another trainer seeking his 1st Derby win. I’ve observed that horses that fly half way around the world to run in Dubai, have a pretty hard time getting back into racing shape upon their return from that trip. He got the big money in Dubai but I don’t see him getting any money in the Derby so I will pass.
Roadster: Roadster is one of Bob Baffert’s three possible Derby entrants and the colt that Mike Smith didn’t choose to ride in the Derby. This son of Quality Road (a very good sire), who will be ridden by Florent Geroux, is also lightly raced with only 4 career starts, including 2 this year. He did win the Santa Anita Derby over Game Winner and Instagrand and the Santa Anita Derby has produced 10 Kentucky Derby winners, including three since 2012 – Justify, California Chrome and I’ll Have Another. This colt overcame some breathing issues after surgery last year and had been ridden by Mike Smith in all his career starts, so when Mike chose Omaha Beach over Roadster it must have been a surprise to Baffert & Co. Obviously a very talented colt who might be the 2nd betting choice in the race, but I am unsure at this point how I will play him.
By My Standards: This colt has 5 career starts and took four tries to break his maiden – not very encouraging. He is trained by Bret Calhoun, who is also seeking his first Derby win. He did win the Louisiana Derby at odds of 22-1 beating Spinoff and Sueno. However, the Louisiana Derby has only produced 2 Kentucky Derby winners, the last one being Grindstone in 1996. I am a little concerned about his ability to get the 1-1/4 miles in the Derby based on his breeding. I can’t really say that I would recommend anyone bet him to win so I will pass.
Maximum Security: This undefeated colt, from 4 lifetime starts, began racing in December last year in claiming and optional claiming races (I guess his connections didn’t feel he was that good) and was not really tested until he ran, and won, the Florida Derby in a very good time. In that race he beat Code of Honor, Bodexpress and Bourbon War. All his wins have come by good margins (3-1/2 to 18 lengths. He is trained by Jason Servis who is also looking for his first Derby win. He has only gone two turns in a race once in 4 tries and has been ridden by 3 different jockeys in 4 races, again, something that is not that encouraging. I don’t think I will bet him.
Game Winner: Last year’s 2-YO champion has won three Grade 1 races in 6 lifetime starts so he is a very good colt. He has never been out of the money and his two losses were by a nose and a ½ length. He lost the Santa Anita Derby to Roadster and the Rebel Stakes to Omaha Beach, two colts who will be highly regarded come Derby day. He is the second of Bob Baffert’s three probable entries. All three have the credentials to win the Derby and he has a win over the CD track last November in the Breeders’ Cup (always a plus to have a win over the CD surface). In a race full of speed, he has a tactical advantage in that he can get good position and lay off the pace until they hit the top of the stretch. On a slightly down note, he lost his 2 starts this year, each as the favorite, after an undefeated 2-YO campaign. Though he lost to good colts (see above) I am not sure that Bob had him cranked up for either of those efforts. He will likely be a reasonable price in the Derby, and I may have to take a long hard look at him before I bet.
Code of Honor: A somewhat inconsistent colt, he has 2 wins in 5 lifetime starts, but 2 of his losses were in Grade 1 company. He has been beaten by Maximum Security and Bodexpress in the Florida Derby after he won the Fountain of Youth stakes over Bourbon War and Vekoma. He is trained by “Shug” McGaughey who won the 2013 Derby with Orb, and knows what it takes to win the Derby. His breeding is such that he could run all day so the distance shouldn’t be an issue. He will probably be a double digit price in the Derby and I am a little hesitant to do more than maybe put him in a trifecta or superfecta box.
Haikal: Trained by Kiaran McLaughlin this colt could be Kiaran’s 1St Derby winner. Yeah, read that again - Kiaran has never won the Kentucky Derby. However, I don’t think this is his year to score that elusive victory. This colt was beaten by Tacitus and Tax in the Wood, 2 colts he will face in the Derby. Haikal has always been in the money, in 5 career starts, but has not run outside Aqueduct. I am suspect of a colt who has wintered in NY – he can’t be that good if they didn’t ship to FLA for the winter. I will pass, on the win bet but maybe find a place for him in the exotics.
Improbable: Bob Baffert’s 3rd entry has finished in the money in all of his 5 career starts and has a win over the CD track. He won the Grade 1 Los Alamitos Futurity in December before going to Arkansas for his 2 starts this year. In the Rebel, at Oaklawn, he was beaten by Long Range Toddy and then he was a close 2nd in the Arkansas Derby getting beat by Omaha Beach. He will face both colts in the Derby. His running style (tracking the pace) should suit him well. However, I question whether he can get the 1-1/4 miles of the Derby as he is out of City Zip, a sprinter. Anyway, he is a good colt with a very good trainer so I will have to take a long, hard look at him before deciding whether to bet him or not.
War of Will: One of three colts in the race who have 8 lifetime starts, this Mark Casse trainee began his career with 4 starts on the turf before breaking his maiden at CD over a sloppy track. Casse has yet to win the Derby and I have doubts that this colt will give him his first Derby victory. This colt should not have any trouble with the distance, but he took a bad beating as the 4-5 favorite in the Louisiana Derby losing by 12 lengths to the likes of By My Standards, Spinoff and Suneo. His connections have always though highly of him. He was entered in three graded stakes races as a 2-YO even though he was a maiden, but I won’t be betting him in the Derby.
Long Range Toddy: Another colt with 8 lifetime starts, he will try to get Steve Asmussen his first Derby win. However, he was badly beaten in the Arkansas Derby over a sloppy track by Omaha Beach, Improbable and Country House, although he did beat Improbable in the Rebel. I believe that he is not as good as he looks on paper and I don’t think he will get the Derby distance based on his breeding. It should be noted that he has never been the favorite in any of his 8 lifetime starts. I will likely bypass him in favor of others.
Tax: A consistent colt who has finished in the money in all his 5 career starts. He began his career in claiming races, including one at CD, and was claimed for $50K in his 2nd start by his trainer Danny Gargan who is an up and coming trainer. It is rare that a former claimer runs in, let alone wins, the Derby. Tax’s last three races have been at a 1-1/8 miles all at Aqueduct so he should not have any trouble handling the Derby distance. He was beaten in the Wood by Tacitus, one of the likely Derby favorites, but was not able to get to the winner in the stretch. So, this is a colt who has plenty of potential, but I have to wonder if his trainer is ready to take on the big boys in Louisville. He will probably be double digit odds in the Derby and a 4th place finish might be as good as he can do.
Cutting Humor: One of the two Todd Pletcher colts in the race, this colt sports 2 wins in 6 lifetime starts and I have to wonder why Todd thinks he should enter this colt. He is not that consistent having been beaten nearly 9 lengths as the favorite in the Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn Park, behind Sueno and Long Range Toddy, and barely hanging on to beat Anothertwistafate in the Sunland Derby. He also lost to Bourbon War in an optional claiming race in January. This colt will be a longshot in the Derby and I will take a pass.
Win Win Win: This colt has never finished out of the money in 6 lifetime starts for trainer Michael Trombetta, who is another trainer seeking his first Derby win. Trombetta has not won a graded stakes race in his career so why would he prevail in America’s greatest race? Also, I doubt that this colt can handle the distance of the race based on his breeding and the fact that his 2 wins have come in one turn races. He has been beaten By Vekoma in the BlueGrasss Stakes and Tacitus and Outshine in the Tampa Bay Derby. He is always well backed at the windows so in some regards he is a “money burner” and I see him as a longshot in the race. Another one I will pass on.
Country House: Bill Mott’s second entry, this colt has only a maiden win in 6 lifetime starts so why is he in here? He has been beaten by Omaha Beach and Improbable in the Arkansas Derby, By My Standards, Spinoff and Sueno in the Louisiana Derby and War of Will in the Risen star. If he can’t win the Arkansas and Louisiana Derbies how is he going to win the Kentucky Derby? He seems to have trouble getting out of the gate and he lost ground in the stretch of his last two 1-1/8 miles races. Another longshot and another colt I will pass on.
Gray Magician: I doubt that Peter Miller will secure his first Derby win with this colt. In fact he might be the longest shot on the board when the gates open. He has one win in 8 career starts, was beaten by Plus Que Parfait in Dubai (you know how I feel about horses going to Dubai to race), was 5th in an optional claiming race in January and does not have the breeding to get the 1-1/4 miles. Again, I will pass.
Spinoff: Todd Pletcher’s 2nd entry in the race, this colt has hit the board in all 4 of his career starts. He was 2nd in the Louisiana Derby to By My Standards, after grabbing the lead in mid-stretch. In that race he finished ahead of Sueno and War of Will. His speed figures have improved with every start as the distances have increased. He is a son of Hard Spun, a horse who ran 2nd in the Derby so I think that the distance should not be a problem for him in the Derby. He will likely be double digit odds in the Derby and might be a sneaky price horse in the tri or superfectas. However, I don’t think I will be playing him in the exotics as there are other colts that I prefer over him.
Master Fencer: This colt got into the Derby by way of a racing series in Japan. He certainly seems like he can handle the distance as all of his 6 career starts in Japan have been at distances of a mile or longer, including two 1-1/4 mile grass races. All that being said, I have no idea what his competition was in Japan and I will have to pass on this colt.
In the event that there is a scratch or two before the derby, these two other colts might get into the race.
Bodexpress: He is trained by Gustavo Delgado, a trainer I know nothing about who has only started 36 horses in races this year. Bodexpress is still a maiden after 5 starts. The only reason he might get in the Derby is that he ran 2nd in the Florida Derby at odds of 71-1. His breeding suggests that he will not be able to handle the 1-1/4 miles in the Derby. Three maidens have won the derby, the last one being Brokers Tip in 1933. Eleven maidens have started in the Derby since 1937 and the best finish of those was 8th place. Can’t even fathom betting on him – even with someone else’s money.
Signalman: This Ken McPeek trainee has been fairly consistent in his 7 lifetime starts, being in the money in 6 of those races. However, he has been beaten by 7 other Derby entrants in his races, but he has been in the money in 3 races over the CD surface, including a win in the Kentucky Jockey Club and a 3rd in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. If he gets in, he will likely be at double digit odds, and I might have to give him a long, hard look in the exotics.
Now the moment of truth, how will I play the race? It will be tough to leave Omaha Beach out of any discussion as to whom might win the race, but I have concerns about him as stated in my analysis. I have always liked Vekoma, but again, I think that his way of moving through the stretch may not serve him well. I will probably make a win bet on either Tacitus or Game Winner with a slight edge to Game Winner. So, my bets might look something like this - a win on Game Winner, an exacta box using Game Winner, Tacitus, Roadster and Omaha Beach. I will play a 5-colt trifecta box with these four plus Vekoma. OK, I know what you’re thinking, “This is a very chalky group of bets” I know that but the goal is to cash tickets and with this group of colts it is hard to look past the ones I have listed to find a “live longshot”. This is a very competitive race. Any one of 7 or 8 colts could easily win, so as usual I reserve the right to change my mind and make different bets than those listed above. Hopefully everyone will enjoy the event and maybe I will come home a WINNER!!!!!!!!!!
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My Belmont Park Picks For Friday

Here are my picks for Belmont this Friday. I am only listing my picks because this is who I will be betting. It should not and does not imply I know any more about horse racing than the next person. However, I have hit my share of races through the years and there is no better feeling than collecting after one of your bombs wins and blows up the exacta, trifecta and supers. But I also know I overlook a lot of important information and if I can, so can anyone else. Therefore, no one should bet any of my picks because I think they could or will win, but rather, each person has the option of going back and reviewing my picks or dismissing them as I have no clue what I am talking about. It will not hurt my feelings either way. I am only concerned about the way I bet and the opportunity I give myself to make serious money. And that should be your priority, too.

1st Race: Maiden-- 3 YOs & Up--- Purse $90,000--- 7 Furlongs:

5) Ahead Of Plan(1-1) looks like the one to beat as he makes his first start this year. He led throughout until caught near the wire in his first lifetime start last year. Works are good and the experience he gain in that start should get him home first. His sire, Big Drama, was extremely tough to beat in sprints

6) Four Ten(6-1) should be the main threat to the favorite. Making his first lifetime start, his sire is Curlin, who everyone should be familiar with, but his dam, Any Limit, is a multiple G2 & G3 SW of $659,768, mostly in sprints.

3)Double Orb(8-1) will be my choice for third. There looks like there is an abundant of speed in here and he has good enough works where he should be able to at least pick up tiring horses.

7)Sneakness(6-1) is the only horse entered that has raced this year and he now adds blinkers, so he could possibly get a piece.

Bets: Ex Box 5-6, Tri Box 3-5-6, .10 Super box 3-5-6-7.

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2nd Race: Maiden---Restricted To NY Breds--- 3 YO & Up Fillies--- Purse $72,000--- 6 Furlongs Inner Turf:

6) Funderella(20-1) will be my choice to WP. Her sire, D'Funnybone, is a multiple G2 SW of $686,700 on dirt but the reason for taking a chance on her is her broodmare sire, City Zip. I know very little about her trainer, other than he trains mostly NY breds and runs mostly at Aqueduct & Finger Lakes. However, he seems to do better on grass or when he ships to run on Presque Isle AWT, which is similar to grass. His stats are 13% winning and 40% in the money lifetime, not bad for training cheap stock.

9) Andretta(9-2) will be my choice for second. She has ran 2nd 4 times in 7 lifetime starts but was beaten by the favorite in here in her only start this year. But I will take her over the favorite because she has proven she can rate and she will not have to pressure the pace like she had to in her 1st start this year.

7) J J Jen (6-1) will be my choice for third. She made her first career start in the Andretta race last out, broke slowly and was making up ground lat. Her sire, Teuflesburg, sports the same sire as Scat Daddy and J J Jen's dam family has sprinter speed sprinkled throughout her pedigree. With a slightly break break, which is expected, she could easily blow by this field, though I like my top two choices better.

4) Prisoner's Dilemma(5-2) is the morning line favorite and is the one to catch, but looks like their are several first time starters who should ensure a lively pace.

Bets: WP 6, Ex Box 6-9, Tri Box 6-7-9, .10 Super Box 4-6-7-9, Super Key 6 with 4-6-9 with 4-6-9 with 4-6-9.

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Race 3: Allowance O/C $80,000--- 3 YOs---- Purse $92,000--- 1 Mile Turf:

2) Shootin The Breeze(7-2) will be my choice to win. He is the class of this field thus far and should be ready to move on to the next set of conditions.

11) Kulik Bear(6-1) ran a nice race while graduating in his last and is facing winners for the first time. However, looks like his trainer picked a fairly soft spot and he should be a factor late. Owne Breeder of this horse purchased Curlin as a young 3 YO, along with several other nice horses.

9) Valid Point(2-1) is the morning line 2nd favorite and hails from Chad Brown's barn. On grass anywhere and especially in New York, I have to include most runners racing on grass from this barn and this one is no exception.

Bets: Ex Box 2-11, Tri Box 2-9-11.

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Race 4: Allowance O/C $40,000--- 3 YOs & Up--- Restricted To New York Breds--- Purse $80,000--- 6 1/2 Furlongs:

1)H-Man(2-1) crushed a NY bred field in his last in the same conditions and looks to repeat, which he should against these.

6) Bluegrass Express(10-1) is dropping from condition open bred allowances and returning to the class of his last win. His last two starts has shown he looks like he is returning to top form and could upset if top pick falters.

4) Empire Line(7-2) is returning to the races after a 15 month break and dropping out of state bred stakes races. He will also be racing as a first time gelding and has some good steady works. However, he will probably find this type of field a bigger challenge to overcome than the couple of stakes he ran in, especially being off so long.

3) The Caretaker(6-1) is also dropping from open bred condition allowance races and also returning to the class of his last win. While it looks like he is still off form, it may be because of the competition he has been facing. In with a good shot to upset.

Bets: Ex Box 1-6, Tri Box 1-4-6, .10 Super Box 1-3-4-6, Super Key 1 with 3-4-6 with 3-4-6 with 3-4-6.

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Race 5: Bed O' Roses Inv S(G3)----- 3 YO & Up Fillies---- Purse $250,000---- 7 Furlongs:

3) Chalon(2-1) is the only real speed in this race and should control the pace up front. She has battled early in several of her races with the top female sprinters in the country but has yet to take the top prize in a graded stakes home. Should be her race for the taking.

7) Separationofpowers(5-2) tired in her first start of the year after pressing the pace. Now she has to carry an additional 4 lbs under the conditions of the race. So, she will probably have too sit a couple of lengths behind the top choice and try to chase her down with no real help.

1)Saguaro Row(15-1) is very sharp right now and looks to be the only threat to the top two. She has won her only 2 starts since being switched to Stidham's barn and her two works since her last indicates she is ready. While she could get the jump on the second pick and finish 2nd, she will have to run a race she has not proven she can to beat the top choice.

Bets: Ex Box 3-7, Ex Key 3 with 1-7, Tri Box 1-3-7, Tri Key 3-7 with 3-7 with 1.

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Race 6: Allowance O/C $100,000--- 3 YO & Up--- Purse $92,000---- 1 Mile Turf:

1)Awesome Saturday(12-1) is my choice to spring the upset. He has started 4 times on grass in his career, his first two starts in each of the last two years. While both his sire and broodmare sire ran in top races on dirt, both shows Danzig in their pedigrees, a top sprint/miler sire on grass in the world. He has shown he is not quite fast enough to beat good sprinters but does not have enough stamina good horses at distances at over a mile on dirt.

6)Gidu(8-1) is my 2nd choice, though he has been crossed entered into a much tougher spot on Saturday at Belmont. He has a much better chance of winning this race though. If he goes in here, he should set the pace and be tough to run down.

8) V.I.P. Code(30-1) will be my choice for 3rd. He has started once this year and that start was his 2nd lifetime on grass, but it was on a yielding grass course, so that start is a toss for me. He ran 2nd in his first start on grass in his career(odds 71-1), to the same horse that beat him in his last. His new trainer, Colletti, Jr has pulled off bigger surprises. I simply do not know if he has this one ready, though.

9)Have At It(10-1) is another I will use underneath in a super key. This distance seems to fit him better than the others who are dropping out of graded stakes into this race. His owner and his trainer both play this game at the top end also.

Bets: WP 1, Ex Box 1-6, Tri Box 1-6-8, Tri Box 1-6-9, .10 Super Box 1-6-8-9, Super Key 1 with 6-8-9 with 6-8-9 with 6-8-9.

Race 7: The Tremont---- 2 YOs --- Purse $150,000--- 5 1/2 Furlongs:

8) Rookie Salsa(4-1) has won his first two starts and is my choice to win his third straight. Both sire & broodmare sire banked over $1M each and both won just more than half their lifetime starts.

3)Now Is(20-1) is a maiden that finished third in his only lifetime start and that start came on grass. However, his sire, Sidney's Candy was very speedy on both dirt and grass and while his broodmare sire, Distorted Humor, is better known as a grass sire or off track sire, he ran against the best of his generation on dirt and usually was heard from in the stretch. His trainer, Gleaves, has been training since at least the mid 1980's.

7) Memorable(8-1) is my choice for 3rd. He broke his maiden in his first start and finished in a good time on a sloppy track. The race looks like it sets up for a horse who can rate and he looks most likely that can sit close and go when asked.

1)Theitalianamerican(10-1) looks like a cold stone closer as he came from far back at the top of the stretch to finish 2nd, beaten a head in a good time. However, it was more due to the fact the two front runners simply stopped but he did make up 4 lengths on the winner. With that start under his belt, he should break a little better but there are others in here that will get a huge jump if he lags too far back. Sire, Girolamo, hails from the same female family as Blue Grass Cat & Supersaver, among many other stakes winners.

Bets: WP 8, Ex Box 3-8, Tri Box 3-7-8, .10 Super Box 1-3-7-8, Super Key 8 with 1-3-7 with 1-3-7 with 1-3-7.

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Race 8) The True North(G2)--- 3 YO & Up--- Purse $250,000---- 6 1/2 Furlongs:

5) Strike Power(8-1) is my choice to WP. After two wins in his first two career starts, he faced off with Promises Fulfilled in his next four starts, a horse he proved he could not battle and keep going because of the blistering pace. He was switched to grass against more experienced grass horses for his last start last year and he showed about as much as could be expected. His first start this year saw him cruise around GP track in 1:15 flat, which is 3/5 of a second of the track record that has stood since 2005(drf says 1/5 off). However, no one else in here can say they had to set 21 and change and 43 and change to have a chance to win any race, but he can but he could not. Doubtful if anyone else here can either.

4) Nicodemus(8-1) will be my choice for 2nd. His last saw him chase down a loose on the lead horse who returns in this race with no help in the slop. He should have help early in here and could win if a blistering pace develops. His sire is Candy Ride, who everyone should know but his broodmare sire is Tiger Ridge, a full brother to Summer Squall & a 1/2 brother to A.P. Indy. Look for him to improve as he gains more experience.

8) Do Share(5-1) will be my choice for third. While I could have gone with Whitmore in this spot, I decided Do Share is probably the one who is fitter at the moment, since he ran by Whitmore in their last.

7) Whitmore(7-2) will be my choice to complete the super.

Bets: WP 5, Ex Box 4-5, Tri Box 4-5-8, .10 Super Box 4-5-7-8, Super Key 5 with 4-7-8 with 4-7-8 with 4-7-8.

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Race 9: The New York(G2)---- 3 YO & UP Fillies And Mares---- Purse $600,000 ---- 1 1/4 Mile Inner Turf.

8)Homerique(6-5) towers over this field and should be one of the easiest winners of the day, if she run anywhere close to her past form. She ran in the two biggest races restricted to 3 YO fillies last year and finished 3rd both times while narrowly beaten.

3)Giant Zinger(15-1) is my choice to finish 2nd. Her last two starts. she was sent from the start because the going was soft and good. On the good turf, she set a slow enough pace to be close at the end and she was. On the soft grass, it really did not matter how slow she went, because most will tire badly anyways and she did, considering it was a 5 horse field. Now she shortens up a furlong and she should rate behind the early speed which is what she does in her best races.

4) Lady Montdore(10-1) will be my choice for third. She will try to sneak off to an easy early lead and if allowed to succeed will prove to be tough to run down, though the top choice should find it in her. Her sire is Medaglia D'Oro but her dam is Hystericalady, a multiple G1 winner of more than 2.3M on dirt, including a 2nd in the G1 BC Distaff in the slop. One mile on grass is too short for Lady Montdore but 1 3/8 miles has proven to be a little further than she looks like she wants to go. Now she gets her 2nd shot at 1 1/4 mile on grass but now has to beat Fourstar Crook's replacement.

1)Holy Helena(9-2) seems to always be around but usually finds the U.S. horses a little tougher to beat than her Canadian competition. Same should hold true against these.

Bets: Ex Box 3-8, Tri Box 3-4-8, .10 Super Box 1-3-4-8, Super Key 8 with 1-3-4 with 1-3-4 with 1-3-4.

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10th Race: Belmont Gold Cup Inv(G2)--- 3 YO & Up--- Purse $400,000---- 2 Miles Turf.

6) Arklow(5-2) is my choice to win. This looks like one of easier spots he has found in a while and should prove tough to deny.

7)Hunter O'Riley(10-1) will be my choice to finish 2nd. He is making his 4th start this year after making one start all of last year. He was some back class, including a 5th in this race in 2017 in a field that came up fairly strong. Trainer is also better known for his grass runners than his dirt runners.

5)Highland Sky(15-1) will be my third choice. While he has not been a real impact in a distance turf for a while, he is working better than he has in a while, indicating he may be returning to his best form. While I really do not expect it, if he returns to his 3 YO form, he will upset this field. There is no Beach Patrol in here.

9)Canessar(9-2) is my fourth choice and the only one close to having a recent race good enough to beat my top choice. While I do not really like his two most recent races, he will be making his fourth start since he took a six month break, so maybe he is ready to return to form.

Bets: WP 7, Ex Box 6-7, Tri Box 5-6-7, .10 Super Box 5-6-7-9, Super Key 6 with 5-7-9 with 5-7-9 with 5-7-9.

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11th race: Starter Allowance $40,000---- 3 YO & Up Fillies & Mares--- Purse $55,000--- 6 Furlongs Inner Turf:

4) Ragtime Suzy(12-1) is my choice to win. First, Irad Ortiz has accept the mount and he seems to love to win the last race most days, especially in New York. Ragtime Suzy's dam, Category Seven, was a tough as nails competitor throughout her racing career and she performed better on grass than dirt. Her trainer, Bush, is also slightly better with his grass runners compared to his dirt runners.

1)Smokem Deb(3-1) will be my choice to finish 2nd. She has speed and will have to use it early because the rail is not the best place to be on the inner turf when it is firm. However, her trainer, Thomas, probably knows this as well as anyone and he should have her prepared.

5) Derby Day Jewel(10-1) will be my choice for third. Her trainer also trains my top pick and she is bred as good the top choice. In fact, Derby Day Jewel's sire, Get Stormy, is one of two G1 grass winner this trainer has trained in his career. Derby Day Jewel's dam, Jasmine Jewel, beat winners only once in her career but it was at 5 furlongs on grass where she came from last to first.

11) Ailish(8-1) will be my choice for 4th. She breaks from the far outside and the outside posts on the inner grass is as bad as breaking from the rail. So she will need to break alertly to get a good position before the turn to have a real shot at winning. Not impossible but very rare.

Bets: WP 4, Ex Box 1-4, Tri Box 1-4-5, .10 Super Box 1-4-5-11, Super Key 4 with 1-5-11 with 1-5-11 with 1-5-11.
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Preview of the American Pharoah Stakes today at Santa Anita

Race 8
#4 Express Train - minimum win betting odds 6/5
#9 Collusion Illusion - minimum win betting odds 5/2
#3 Eight Rings – minimum win betting odds 3/1
In addition to the three win contenders above, I feel #7 Shoplifted is a strong contender to be part of the exacta and trifecta, as well as #1 American Theorem to a lesser extent.
Exacta: 4 over 1,3,7,9
Exacta: 4,9 over 1,3,4,7,9
After Express Train broke his maiden in his second career start on August 28, I entered this note in my Equibase Virtual Stable to insure I got an email whenever he came back – ”Second start 8/28 was just a training race. Smith educated him by letting him go to the lead then get passed. Then he asked the horse to reaccelerate an in doing so was setting him up for a BIG next race."
I'm not the only one who saw that race so I don't expect high odds but since this nine horse field consists of four other horses who won their most recent starts, plus two (Eight Rings and Storm the Court) who won first out but lost the jockey second time out, I think we'll get the minimum 6/5 I want to make a win bet. Not only was the race impressive on many counts, including the winning margin of 14 lengths, Express Train earned the win around two turns, making him the ONLY horse in the field to have won the a route. Express Train is also the only horse to have run in a route. The 101 Equibase figure is on par with the 100 Nucky earned winning the Del Mar Futurity, the 102 figure Collusion Illusion earned winning the Best Pal Stakes and within range of the 105 Eight Rings earned in his debut, noting that effort came at 5 1/2 furlongs. Likely to improve again in his third career start and with Smith (winning 32% of all dirt routes he's ridden this year, top in the field), Express Train should win and stamp his ticket to the Breeders' Cup Juvenile.
Collusion Illusion showed a lot of maturity in both starts to date, both wins, rallying from fourth at the half-mile mark in both. He improved from a 91 Equibase figure in this debut to 101 in the Best Pal and as a son of Twirling Candy should run just as well trying two turns for the first time.
Eight Rings was dominant in his debut in a six horse maiden field in August then took a left turn into the gap as the heavy favorite in the Del Mar Futurity and lost the jockey. I'm not sure why blinkers are added and I'm not a fan of adding blinkers for a stakes, particularly off a win, but there's no doubt the horse is talented, and fast. John Velazquez comes in to ride, which is very rare as their record together (via STATS Race Lens) is 1-1-2 in seven races over the past five years. Nevertheless, Velazquez is a veteran who may be able to get Eight Rings to relax a bit in his new blinkers and run as fast as he did in that debut. That may, or may not, be a winning effort here if he does because two year olds can leap forward significantly from one race to the next. Nevertheless, I can't discount his chances to win.
Shoplifted was disadvantaged badly by the sloppy conditions and anti-closers bias at Saratoga in the Hopeful Stakes on 9/2 so the fact he closed from last of six to get second was significant. Rosario comes in from New York to ride the colt who he got familiar with that day and like Collusion Illusion, Shoplifted has shown maturity in rallying in both races, which style will serve him well in a race which potentially could be hotly contested in the early stages. The 96 figure earned first out on a fast track can be improved upon which could put him in the mix at the end.
American Theorem rallied from seventh early to win in his debut on 8/31, earning a 91 figure. He takes blinkers off for this race, again questionable off a win, but he could be passing some of these late to get into the exacta or trifecta if he improves off his debut.
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Breeders Cup Preview for Saturday Nov 2

Saturday Nov 2, 2019 Santa Anita Park Race: 4 (2:55PM EST Post) BC Filly and Mare Sprint
Covfefe is lightning bolt fast and is 4 for 5 this year including shattering a track record earlier in May. She looks “revved up” for this off an 8 length win last time out and back to back excellent works……………Come Dancing is also 4 for 5 this year and could not have looked any better in her last. She heads west for the first time with a monster six furlong drill in tow and for the last time as well as (from what I gather) she has a “date” with Uncle Mo next spring………..I hate to put the gorgeous, $800,000 daughter of Quality Road, Bellafina this far down, I really do. She clearly does not “take her race track with her” as she is 4 for 4 on this oval, yet 2 for 7 everywhere else, including taking three straight drubbings out of town. Returns back “home” here………………….Honorable Mentions: Would the real Serengeti Empress please stand up?...................Secret Spice keeps finding ways to lose, but she is multiple Grade: 1 Stakes placed this year and likes this track……………..Spiced Perfection appears to be coming into this race in good form and is a two time Grade: 1 winner in her career. If she gets a good trip, she could be rolling down the lane…..Couple of long shots to consider include Dawn the Destroyer, who although is just 1 for 7 this year, just missed behind Spiced Perfection last time, and Heavenhasmynikki, who is blossoming of late and very sharp right now after three straight coast to coast wins.
Race: 5 (3:33 PM EST Post) BC Turf Sprint
Shekky Shebaz looks like the “speed of the speed” here. His internal fractions and lastest speed figures are superior as well. Could make every pole a winning one……………..Belvior Bay is a 6 year old mare taking on the ‘boys but is 6 for 9 at Santa Anita and comes into this after chasing (and only being beaten by 3 lengths) by that missile they called World of Trouble………………Eddie Haskell is having a very strong year as his 8-4-3-1 record would indicate. He’s never been off the board in 14 tries at this distance, including 9 wins…………..Honorable Mentions: Both Pure Sensation and Stormy Liberal have probably seen better days but either could jump up and run big here still …………….Stubbins and Totally Boss both appear to be coming into this in career form.
Race: 6 (4:10 PM EST Post) BC (Dirt) Mile
I loved the way the super star talent leveled Omaha Beach dug in and ran down the very speedy Shancelot in his first start back in almost 6 months last time out. This gorgeous, well put together son of War Front has trained brilliantly since. Bottom line here is he is one of, if not THE, best bet of both BC days……………………….It’s no secret I like the hulking Improbable, from the Bob Baffert barn, quite a bit. That said, by and large he’s disappointed this year and if you want proof, look no further than his 1 for 6 record. He’ll be cutting back in distance off his last and, judging by his most recent works, it appears Baffert has him “revved up” for this…………………Coal Front is 8 for 12 in his career and seems to have shaken off the effects of his Dubai trip in the spring. This distance hits him squarely between the eyes as well………….Honorable Mentions: Mr. Money has a four race win streak snapped last time out….nice colt…………..Diamond Oops has chased Imperial Hint and Bowie’s Hero in his last two and held his own……………………..Blue Chipper is 7 for 8 lifetime in Korea. Past that, I have no clue what to make of him. He appears in way over his head, then again so did Arcangues.
Race: 7 (4:54 PM EST Post) BC Filly and Mare Turf
Sistercharlie has now come from behind to win six straight Grade: 1s. Unless one of the Euros are Enable incognito, this 5 year old mare is another one of the best bets of the weekend…………………..Vasilika is 18 for 35 lifetime and an astounding 11 for 12 on this oval. Electrifying stretch running mare should be charging hard late………….The cleverly named Mrs. Sippy just missed behind Sistercharlie last time out. Between that race and her U.S debut/win two back, she must be considered ………….Honorable Mentions: All four Europeans….Castle Lady has won 3 of 5 and was making up ground late in a Grade: 1 at Keeneland last time out, her U.S debut……………Billesdon Brook has won 3 of her last 4 including a Group:1 last time out……..Fanny Logan has won four straight overseas…………….Fleeting was making up ground late against Sistercharlie in a race last year. The extra distance here should help her chances.
Race: 8 (5:36 PM EST Post)BC Sprint
Aside from a little hiccup (bounce) on July 27, Mitole has been the most dominant sprinter in the country in 2019. The only draw back I see is he heads west for the first time and there have been countless East Coast based horses who have fizzled when going west for the first time. Past that, this is his race to lose…………………..Catalina Cruiser might be the biggest (size wise) horse to run all weekend long. Big, super fast and he draws the rail on a track he is 2 for 2 over. This winner of 7 of 8 career starts must be considered……………..Conversely, Imperial Hint is a “pip squeak” in size but is nothing short of a running fool. Kudos to trainer Luis Carvajal for doing a masterful job in getting this speedster here. After setting a track record at Saratoga in the Alfred Vanderbilt, Carvajal gave this horse two months off to rest up after such a colossal effort. He brings him back in the Forego (a race where he was dead game in winning) then textbook trained him up to this. Bottom line here is he too must be considered……………..Honorable Mentions: Shancelot absolutely ran a hole in the wind in Amsterdam two starts back (121 BSF) but showed a little kink in the armor in his last two. Of course, there is no shame in losing by a head to Omaha Beach. That said, this colt figures to be among the vanguard in what looks to be a nuclear early pace, which might leave him vulnerable in deep stretch……………A couple of long-shots to consider include Hog Street Hustle, Engage and even what appears to be an out of top form Whitmore, as all three of these stretch runners could take advantage of what promises to be a wickedly fast early pace.
Race: 9 (6:20 PM EST Post) BC Turf Mile
Uni is a big, stretch running chestnut mare who takes on the ‘boys in this spot but has won 6 of her last 7 (all at this distance) including two Grade: 1’s………………Maximus Circus is a two time Group:1 winner overseas. Good looking colt by the great Galileo adds blinkers, is trained by one of the best in the world and is the recipient of one of my favorite angles (first time Lasix)…..figures bang up……………Got Stormy is another taking on the ‘boys but has been holding top notch form since May, including a Grade: 1 win and four straight “trips” speed figures…………Honorable Mentions: What’s up with the long odds on Suedios (20-1), who after being a ridiculous 8 wide on the turn for home, came screaming down the lane to miss by three quarters of a length in his U.S. debut, Lucullan (12-1), who is 3 for 4 after a long break, including coming home the last furlong in a strong :11.3 seconds last time out, and True Valor, who appears to be peaking right now after winning a Grade: 2 over this very turf course while getting a mile in an excellent 1:32.4? Upon paddock and pre-race warms ups inspections, I might use some or all in my exotics plays.
Race: 10 (7pm EST Post) BC Distaff
Midnight Bisou is now 7 for 7 this year, over 5 different surfaces and has recorded 3 Grade: 1 wins. She just “breaths different air” than the rest of this division. If she wins here, and I suspect she will, you have to toss her into the Horse of the Year debate……………Dunbar Road is gorgeous three year old filly taking on her elders here but, aside from her last race where she just didn’t fire, this $350,000 daughter of Quality Road had won 4 of her first 5 races including the prestigious Alabama Stakes at Saratoga…………………Blue Prize is a consistent, multiple Grade: 1 Stakes winner who appears to be coming into this in career best form…………………Honorable Mentions: Do not….do not….do not….. dismiss Street Band so quickly. Another 3 YO taking on elders, this filly knocked off Dunbar Road two races back and won the Grade: 1 Cotillion Stakes in her last. She is clearly getting good at the right time and will absolutely be on some of my tickets………………Wow Cat has hit the board in 14 of 15 career starts, including 9 wins and wasn’t THAT far behind Midnight Bisou last time out………………If Paradise Woods is “right”, she could make an impact on this race. However, she's a little too inconsistent for me.
Race: 11 (7:40 PM EST Post) BC Turf
Speaking of Horse of the Year contenders, Bricks and Mortar might be perched atop that discussion. Five year old, by the late, super sire Giant’s Causeway, is 5 for 5 this year with 4 Grade:1 wins. He possesses a strong and determined late run, handles any distance and is a solid favorite here…………………….Anthony Van Dyke ran third behind Magical in the prestigious QIPCO Irish Champion Stakes and chased Horse of the “World” Enable two starts back. That said, I’m going to try to beat this 3-1 morning line favorite……………Old Persian came from well back to win his North American debut in the Grade: 1 Northern Dancer in his last. Handsome colt gets scored a 100 BSF in that race and gets Lasix again here…..should be coming late……………..Honorable Mention: After “nibbling” in his prior races this year, the stretch running Arklow finally broke through and scored a Grade: 1 win last time out…..light bulb angle?..................Alounak just missed in his North American debut in the Grade: 1 Canadian International last time out. I was really impressed how he came home the last quarter in :23.2 over a course labeled “good”…that’s doing some running…………….Your super long-shot horse here is United, who is in good form right now and seems to be getting better as the distances get longer.
Race: 12 Breeders Cup Classic
Code of Honor is a three year old taking on elders but he appears to be getting better by the day. His last two races at 10 furlongs were a fast closing third in none other than the Kentucky Derby, and beaten by nose (by was put up to first) in the Jockey Club Gold Cup. The facts he is improving and he likes this distance are enough for him to get my timid vote here………………….Like Improbable, it’s no secret I like McKinzie quite a bit, he’s fast, gorgeous and his back story is great. I’ve backed him in just about every race in his career and he has rewarded me more times that not. This bay colt sports a 7-3-4-0 record on this oval as well. Having said that, the fact still remains he is 0 for 2 at 10 furlongs, which I wouldn’t really make too much out of, but more importantly, his stride changed both times in deep stretch of those races. As I’ve said before, this son of Street Sense’s “wheelhouse” is between 7 and 8 ½ furlongs….this is well outside that realm. Listen if he beats me, I’ll tip my cap to him, but due to the distance alone, he’s a play against for me.......................I’m not a big fan of Vino Rosso but truth be told, he is in great form right now. He ran an enormous race in his one and only time over the Santa Anita surface, came back with a “parking lot” wide trip at Saratoga and essentially wired the field in the aforementioned Jockey Club Gold Cup only to be taken down for repeated bumping down the lane. A horse who likes the track and is in good form must always be respected…could conceivably outrun this rating……………..Honorable Mentions: Elate might be the best 10 furlong horse in the country male or female. This Amazonian mare is 3 for 3 at this distance this year, won them all 3 by wide margins and, most importantly, she was striding out beautifully in deep stretch….could better this rating……………..Yoshida is a 0 for 5 this year but he has run very well in his last two in NY and, after watching him train this week, Mott might have him peaking at just the right time…………………Mongolian Groom comes into to this razor sharp off four straight improved races ( last 4 BSF: 98, 99,100 and 110). Of all the horses I watched train this week over this track, he was one of the stand outs for sure. My only question is, where does he go from that 110 BSF? Surely it doesn’t go up, I doubt it stays the same, so that only leaves one option. Bottom line here is he just might have a “bounce” race coming up…………………Speaking of bouncing, it looks as though that exactly what Higher Power did in his last, if you can call a 99 BSF a bounce. The son of Medaglia d’Oro could spring back into form in this spot……………………..Owendale is a talented, good looking, three year old multiple Graded Stakes winner who appears overmatched. Make no mistake though, he seems to be getting better and better.
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American Racing Journal - YouTube Breeders' Cup Betting 101: Wagering 2019 Breeders' Cup Classic Preview - YouTube Breeders' Cup Spotlight: Goldikova Breeders Cup Picks: Turf 11/2/19 Mitch's Picks Live

For 2018, the Mile will be run on Saturday November 3, as the fifth Breeders' Cup race on the day. Breeders' Cup Mile Betting. You can get Breeders' Cup Mile betting track odds, results and fast payouts with cash back and other bonuses when you open an account and make your Breeders' Cup wagers with one of these top-rated online racebooks. Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Odds The Most Breeders' Cup Bets Anywhere. BUSR is the best place you can place your bet on the Breeders' Cup. Fixed price odds are available. Bet the Classic and get $10 in Casino chips. Breeders' Cup Odds are live and open for betting. Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Breeders’ Cup Betting. Breeders’ Cup expert picks can be found online close to the main event. Breeders’ Cup fields and odds will be posted 72 hours before each event. Breeders’ Cup morning line odds are available shortly before the post position draws on Tuesday, November 3, and Wednesday, October 4. 2019 Breeders’ Cup TVG Mile Betting Odds. Purse: $2,000,000 Distance: 1 mile (turf) Grade: 1 Age: 3-year-old+ Post Time: 6:20PM EDT One of the original Breeders’ Cup races, the Mile has always been run on the grass and as such it’s a heat in which the European horses have excelled over the years. The Mile has been a part of the Breeders’ Cup since its inception in 1984. It is a Grade 1 race worth $2 million run at a mile on turf. Currently, there are 10 ‘Win and You’re In’ events for the Mile: the Grade 1 Queen’s Plate at Kenilworth, the Grade 1 Gran Premio Club Hipico Falabella at Club Hipico de Santiago, the Grade 1 Shoemaker Mile at Santa Anita, the Grade 1 Yasuda Kinen at ...

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American Racing Journal - YouTube

Watch the 2019 Breeders' Cup Mile, which ended in a close finish between the two mares in the field. #NBCSports #HorseRacing #BreedersCup » Subscribe to NBC ... Jimmy the Bag did his homework, stayed up late and he is here with his expert betting tips for the 2018 Breeders' Cup. Here, he looks at the Filly and Mare Sprint, Turf Sprint, Dirt Mile, Filly ... Watch the full Dirt Mile from the 2019 Breeders' Cup at Santa Anita. #NBCSports #HorseRacing #BreedersCup » Subscribe to NBC Sports: https://www.youtube.com/... What’s the lowest odds you should bet on a horse? ... How to Win Big Betting Superfectas on Horse ... Weekend Handicapper 5,727 views. 27:46. Breeders' Cup 2018: Top 10 can't miss horses on ... Matt Chapman puts Goldikova in the spotlight as the super Mare bids to become the first winner of three Breeders' Cup races. ... betting news, offers and odds at ... BREEDERS' CUP MILE $ ...

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